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Lens vs Paris Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 24-10-2026

Lens

2 - 1

FT

Paris

Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Mathieu Vernice
light rain 11.03 °C

Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 7:06 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 7:06 PM

Lens host Paris at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on October 24, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. This Ligue 1 meeting brings together two sides with European ambitions but contrasting recent results. Lens have won their last two league matches to climb to eighth, although a midweek defeat in the Champions League interrupted their momentum. Paris sit third after four wins in their opening seven league games and arrive following a seven-goal contest against Rennes. With both teams showing attacking promise and Lens yet to keep a Ligue 1 clean sheet this season, the meeting offers plenty to examine at both ends of the pitch.

Lens Recent Form and Key Stats

Lens have recovered from a four-match winless run in Ligue 1 by beating Lyon 2-1 and Troyes 3-1 in their two most recent league fixtures. Those results lifted them to eighth place and gave them an opportunity to narrow the gap to the teams above. Their overall league record stands at three wins, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Their latest outing was less encouraging: Lens lost 3-0 to Club Brugge on October 21, their second successive Champions League defeat. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded three wins and two losses, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. The quick return to league action gives them a chance to respond, but their defensive record remains a concern ahead of a visit from the side currently third in Ligue 1.

There have also been few quiet finishes to Lens matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 28 matches, including their last 21 in Ligue 1. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 26 of their last 28 games. At home, Lens have gone 19 matches without a draw across all competitions, a run that includes 15 Ligue 1 home fixtures.

Lens have several personnel concerns. Maik Nawrocki, Abdallah Sima and Ismaëlo Ganiou are unavailable, while Jonathan Gradit missed the previous three matches and remains uncertain. Matthieu Udol returns after a league suspension. Further forward, Florian Thauvin has contributed three goals and six assists in Ligue 1; he did not start the midweek Champions League game. Goalkeeper Robin Risser will be looking for Lens’s first league clean sheet of the season.

Paris Recent Form and Key Stats

Paris have made a strong start to their Ligue 1 campaign, collecting four wins and two draws from seven matches while losing only once. That defeat came away to Lorient. They are third in the standings, with league averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals at both ends.

Their most recent result was a 4-3 win over Rennes on October 18. Maxime Lopez scored twice in that match, while Lassine Sinayoko supplied two goals and two assists. Sinayoko has six Ligue 1 goals, giving Lens a clear attacking threat to consider. Paris have collected 10 points from their first four home league games, but their away record has been less convincing: they have won only one of their first three league trips.

Even so, Paris have often stayed level or ahead through the opening half of away matches. They have not trailed at half-time in their last 13 away games and have been level at the interval in seven of their last eight Ligue 1 away fixtures. Whether they can turn that resilience into a full-match result at Lens is a different question, particularly against hosts who have recently returned to winning ways in the league.

Nhoa Sangui is unavailable for the visitors. The involvement of Hamari Traoré, Samir Chergui, Jonathan Ikoné and Luca Koleosho is uncertain. Those doubts add another consideration for Paris after their demanding contest with Rennes, although that victory also demonstrated the impact their attacking players can make.

Lens vs Paris Match Analysis

The central question in this Ligue 1 preview is whether Lens can make their recent league recovery count against a Paris side that has lost just once in seven rounds. Lens have the home fixture and two straight league wins in their favour, but their 3-0 midweek loss and lack of a league clean sheet leave room for Paris to threaten. Paris, meanwhile, arrive with the confidence of their Rennes victory, even if their first three away league games have yielded only one win.

The goal figures offer the clearest thread through the match. Lens have scored in both of their recent league victories but conceded once in each, and more than 1.5 goals have featured in 26 of their last 28 matches. Paris scored four against Rennes, with Lopez and Sinayoko both making major contributions. The visitors’ half-time results away from home suggest they can remain competitive early on, while Lens’s long sequence of matches with second-half goals points to the possibility of the contest changing after the break. Neither side’s result is assured, but both have evidence of attacking quality alongside reasons to be tested defensively.

Lens vs Paris prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.

Lens vs Paris - Predictions

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Lens vs Paris: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Lens

Paris

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Lens and Paris in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

4

Paris

8

4

2

2

13:9

14

1.75

D
W
L
W
L
6

Lens

8

4

1

3

16:12

13

1.63

D
L
W
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Lens vs Paris: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Lens vs Paris be played?
The Ligue 1 match between Lens and Paris will be played on October 24, 2026 at 18:45.
Where will Lens vs Paris be played?
The match between Lens and Paris will be played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens - France
Who will referee Lens vs Paris?
The referee for the match will be Mathieu Vernice.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Lens vs Paris in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: Lens to win 2.55, draw 3.50, Paris to win 2.70.
What are the betting odds for Lens vs Paris for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.66 and Under 2.5 at 2.20.
Will both Lens and Paris score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for Lens vs Paris in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Lens and Paris?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lens and Paris, Lens won 3 times, Paris won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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