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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 7:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 7:02 PM
The 13th round of Ligue 1 brings an exciting clash between RC Lens and RC Strasbourg at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis this Saturday at 17:00. Both sides are enjoying strong seasons and are firmly in the race for European qualification. Lens, under the guidance of Pierre Sage, have been one of the most consistent teams in the French top flight, while Strasbourg, led by Liam Rosenior, continue to impress domestically and in Europe. With only three points separating them in the standings, this encounter promises intensity, goals, and high stakes for both clubs.
Lens have been in superb form this season, sitting 3rd in the Ligue 1 table with a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. Their attacking efficiency has been remarkable, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match while conceding less than one per game. The team’s recent run has been particularly impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, including a dominant 4-1 victory away at Monaco on November 8. At home, the Sang et Or have turned the Stade Bollaert-Delelis into a fortress, winning their last five league fixtures there and scoring at least two goals in each.
Lens have also shown a clear attacking pattern, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 20 of their last 21 home matches. Their matches tend to be lively, often producing plenty of corners — over 8.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 13 home games in Ligue 1. The team’s consistency is further highlighted by the fact that they have not drawn any of their last 20 home league matches, always playing to win.
Despite the suspension of Jonathan Gradit, coach Pierre Sage can rely on a solid defensive structure led by Malang Sarr and an in-form goalkeeper Robin Risser. In midfield, Mamadou Sangaré has quickly become a key figure since joining last summer, contributing decisively in recent games. Up front, Florian Thauvin and Odsonne Édouard form a dangerous duo. Édouard, in particular, has been on fire, scoring in five of the last six Ligue 1 rounds, making him one of the most in-form strikers in France right now.
Strasbourg have also been enjoying a strong campaign, currently 4th in Ligue 1 with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 2.0 goals per match, while conceding 1.3 on average. The Alsatian side come into this match after a convincing 2-0 home win over Lille before the international break. However, their away form has been less consistent, with two consecutive defeats on the road — 2-1 at Lyon and 4-1 at Rennes — suggesting some vulnerability when playing outside the Stade de la Meinau.
Nevertheless, Strasbourg remain a dangerous side offensively. They have scored in each of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches and have seen over 1.5 total goals in their last 11 league games. Their second halves are often lively, with at least one goal scored after the break in all of their last 16 Ligue 1 fixtures. Coach Liam Rosenior will have to cope without Ismaël Doukouré (suspended) and Maxi Oyedele (injured), while Saïdou Sow remains doubtful. Even so, the team boasts quality across the pitch, with Valentin Barco shining in midfield and Joaquin Panichelli leading the scoring charts with nine goals already this season. Emmanuel Emegha has also returned from injury in style, netting twice against Lille, and will be eager to continue his scoring run.
This fixture brings together two of the most entertaining teams in Ligue 1 this season. Lens have built their success on intensity, pressing, and a strong home record, while Strasbourg’s attacking flair has made them one of the league’s most exciting sides to watch. The hosts will look to dominate possession and exploit the flanks through Thauvin’s creativity and Édouard’s finishing. Strasbourg, on the other hand, will rely on quick transitions and the clinical finishing of Panichelli and Emegha to threaten on the counter.
Historically, Lens have had the upper hand in this matchup, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. However, Strasbourg’s recent attacking form means that both sides are likely to find the net. The visitors have scored in all of their last 15 matches across competitions, while Lens have been prolific at home. Given these trends, fans can expect an open and entertaining contest at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Lens’ home advantage and current momentum make them slight favorites, but Strasbourg’s offensive consistency ensures that this will be far from a one-sided affair. The match could hinge on individual brilliance — particularly from Édouard or Panichelli — and on which defense manages to stay composed under pressure.
The most likely outcome is a Lens win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Strasbourg win (2) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lens
Strasbourg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
6
4
9
1