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Levadia
4:30 PM
July 16, 2026
Caernarfon Town
Prediction published on Jul 15, 2026 5:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Jul 15, 2026 5:03 AM
The second leg of the UEFA Conference League first qualifying round between Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town FC promises to be a decisive encounter. After a dominant 5–0 victory in Wales, Levadia return home to A. Le Coq Arena with a comfortable advantage and a clear opportunity to confirm their progression. The Estonian side’s attacking power has been evident in recent weeks, while Caernarfon face the difficult task of overturning a heavy deficit away from home. With both teams having contrasting fortunes in the first leg, this rematch is expected to highlight Levadia’s consistency and Caernarfon’s resilience.
Levadia Tallinn enter this second leg in excellent form, having remained unbeaten in 23 of their last 24 matches across all competitions. Their attacking record is particularly impressive: they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 36 matches and have averaged 2.4 goals per game over their last five fixtures. In the first leg, Levadia’s 5–0 win showcased their ability to dominate both possession and finishing, confirming their status as one of the most efficient attacking sides in the early stages of the competition.
At home, Levadia have been even more formidable. They have scored in each of their last 16 home matches, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in all of them. Their consistency extends to the first half as well, having avoided defeat before halftime in 13 consecutive home games and winning at halftime in their last three. These numbers underline a team that starts strong and maintains control throughout the match.
These figures confirm that Levadia’s attacking rhythm rarely falters, and their ability to maintain pressure from the first whistle makes them a strong favorite to win again in front of their supporters.
Caernarfon Town FC face a mountain to climb after their 0–5 home defeat in the first leg. The Welsh side struggled to contain Levadia’s offensive power and were reduced to ten men following a red card for defender Ben Nash. Despite that setback, it’s important to note that Levadia had already built a four-goal lead before the dismissal, highlighting the gulf in quality between the two teams in that match.
Before the first leg, Caernarfon had enjoyed a positive run of results, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. However, their defensive record remains a concern, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. In the Conference League, they currently hold a record of W 0 · D 0 · L 1, with an average of 0.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per game. Their attacking potential has been evident domestically, but the step up in European competition has exposed their defensive vulnerabilities.
For Caernarfon, the key challenge will be to restore pride and stability in defense. Their attacking approach may create chances, but they will need to be far more disciplined to avoid another heavy defeat.
This second leg is expected to follow a similar pattern to the first. Levadia Tallinn are likely to control possession and dictate the tempo, using their attacking depth to create multiple scoring opportunities. Their home form and statistical dominance suggest that they will continue to find the net with ease, especially given their record of scoring in every match for over 30 consecutive games. The Estonian side’s ability to maintain intensity in both halves makes them a difficult opponent to contain.
Caernarfon Town FC, on the other hand, will aim to tighten their defensive structure and avoid another early collapse. Their best chance lies in staying compact and looking for counterattacking opportunities. However, given their previous defensive struggles and Levadia’s relentless attack, it will be a major challenge to keep the scoreline close. The Welsh side’s resilience will be tested, but the odds remain heavily in favor of the hosts.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these two sides is short but telling: one meeting, one victory for Levadia, with five goals scored and none conceded. The statistical trends also point toward another high-scoring affair, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 66% of recent matches involving these teams.
Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levadia
Caernarfon Town
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2