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Prediction published on May 14, 2025 11:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 15, 2025 11:35 AM
After three years in the footballing wilderness, Levante are finally on the verge of returning to the elite of Spanish football by securing direct promotion to La Liga. With just three rounds remaining in the Spanish Segunda Division, Julian Fernandez’s team sit in second place—the final spot that guarantees automatic promotion—trailing league leaders Elche by a single point. Levante's mission is clear: win all of their remaining three fixtures, starting with Matchday 40’s clash against Albacete, to preserve their position and avoid being overtaken by promotion rivals Mirandés and Racing Santander, who are two and three points behind respectively. Two key factors work in Levante’s favor: they don’t need to rely on other results, and they’ll play two of their final three games at home, where they've lost only once all season. Their first obstacle is Albacete, currently 10th in the table and eight points off the sixth place required to qualify for the promotion playoffs. With nine points still available, Alberto Gonzalez’s squad still have a mathematical chance, but it’s a slim one. Not only do they trail several teams, but they would also need a perfect run and a cascade of favorable results elsewhere. To make things even more complicated, Albacete have only once managed to win three straight matches this season—the minimum streak they'd need to even dream of a playoff spot.
Levante built on their 1-1 draw with Tenerife by beating Elche 1-3 away from home last weekend, cutting the gap to first place to just one point. In their last five games, Levante have earned two wins, two draws, and one loss—scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding 1.4 per game. Roger Brugué is among the team’s standout performers, having netted three goals in the past two matches.
At home, Levante are unbeaten in their last seven La Liga 2 games, with 5 wins and 2 draws, scoring in each of their last six home matches. They've claimed 40 of their total 70 points at home this season, boasting a home record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 1 defeat. They're also the highest-scoring home team in La Liga 2, having scored 40 goals in 19 home games—an average of 2.1 goals per match.
Albacete’s form has been highly inconsistent. In their last three matches, they beat Cartagena 3-1, lost 5-1 to Deportivo La Coruña, and then edged Huesca 3-2. Over their last five games, defensive fragility has been glaring—conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. The one bright spot is striker Christian Michel Kofane, who has scored six goals in his last seven appearances.
Albacete currently sit on 54 points, but just 18 of those have come on the road. Away from home, their record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded in 19 matches. Since December, they've won only once away: a 0-2 victory over Sporting Gijón on March 23. Their last three away games include two 2-2 draws (against Castellón and Elche) and a heavy 5-1 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña.
Levante are fully focused on winning this game to either claim top spot or solidify second place, distancing themselves from Mirandés and Racing Santander. Their home form has been stellar, and they’ll look to capitalize on that once again.
Historically, Levante have also performed well at home against Albacete, remaining unbeaten in home fixtures between the two sides since 1998. Although Albacete technically remain in playoff contention, their defensive issues and poor away form—particularly in 2025—suggest they may not pose a serious challenge for Julian Fernandez’s team.
For these reasons, the Levante vs Albacete prediction for the 40th day of La Liga 2, drawn up by the BetMines algorithm, leans towards a clear victory for the hosts.
Levante (4-4-2): Fernandez; de la Fuente, Elgezabal, Miquel, Pampin; Alvarez, Algobia, Rey, Martinez; Morales, Brugué. Manager: Julian Fernández
Albacete (4-4-2): Lizoain; Rueda, Villar, Aguilar, Medina; Saenz, Fidel, Melendez, Morcillo; Juanma, Kofane.
Manager: Alberto Gonzalez
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Albacete
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2