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Levante
1 - 1
FT
Girona
Prediction published on Mar 6, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 6, 2026 4:01 AM
The Ciudad de Valencia Stadium will host an intense clash between Levante UD and Girona FC in matchday 27 of LaLiga EA Sports. Both sides are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, making this encounter crucial for their survival hopes. Historically, the fixture has favored the home team, but the current form and momentum of each side suggest a balanced and unpredictable contest. With the season entering its decisive stretch, every point becomes vital, and this duel promises to deliver drama and determination in equal measure.
Levante UD approach this fixture after a much-needed 2-0 victory over Deportivo Alavés on February 27, a result that ended a difficult run of defeats. Despite that win, the team’s overall form remains inconsistent, with just one victory in their last five league matches (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses). During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
Across the season, Levante’s record stands at 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. These numbers explain their current position in 19th place in LaLiga, with 21 points. However, the home advantage could play a decisive role: the Ciudad de Valencia crowd has often been a source of strength for the Granotas, especially in tight matches like this one.
In head-to-head terms, Levante have been dominant against Girona in recent years, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings (2 wins, 3 draws). The most recent encounter between the two sides ended in a stunning 0-4 away victory for Levante earlier this season, a result that will surely boost their confidence ahead of this rematch.
Girona FC come into this match after a narrow 1-2 defeat against Celta de Vigo on March 1, a game in which they arguably deserved more. Their recent form has been mixed, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five outings. During that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing a slight edge in attack compared to Levante but still struggling for consistency.
Over the course of the season, Girona have collected 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, placing them in 14th position with 30 points. Their attacking output averages 1.0 goal per game, while they concede around 1.6 goals per match. Away from home, Girona’s matches tend to open up in the second half — in fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 21 away games and in 29 of their last 32 matches overall. This trend suggests that the game could come alive after the break.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting needs but similar urgency. Levante are desperate to climb out of the relegation zone, while Girona aim to secure mid-table stability. The hosts will rely heavily on their home support and the confidence gained from their recent win over Alavés. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, as they have conceded in most of their recent matches.
Girona, on the other hand, have shown resilience on the road, often managing to score in the second half of their away fixtures. Their ability to stay competitive until the final whistle could be key in a match that is expected to be tight and hard-fought. The visitors’ slightly better form and attacking balance might give them a small edge, but Levante’s unbeaten record in recent head-to-heads cannot be ignored.
Given the statistics, a low-scoring affair seems plausible, especially considering both teams’ modest goal averages and the pressure of the relegation battle. The match could hinge on small details — a defensive lapse, a set-piece, or a moment of individual brilliance.
According to the latest probabilities, Girona hold a slight advantage with a 40% chance of victory, while Levante follow closely at 32% and the draw stands at 28%. The data also points to a balanced scoring outlook, with Both Teams To Score – Yes at 51% and Under 2.5 goals favored at 53%. Taking into account Girona’s consistent second-half scoring trend and Levante’s home resilience, the most likely scenario is a cautious match that opens up after halftime.
Levante vs Girona prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Girona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1