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Prediction published on May 15, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 15, 2026 6:03 PM
The upcoming clash between Levante and Mallorca at the Ciudad de Valencia promises to be a dramatic battle for survival in La Liga. Both teams are level on points and find themselves in the relegation zone, making this encounter crucial for their hopes of staying in the top flight. With only a few matches left in the season, the outcome of this fixture could determine who remains safe and who faces the drop. The tension is palpable, and every goal, tackle, and save will carry immense weight for both sides.
Levante approach this decisive match in excellent form, having won three of their last four games. Their recent 2-3 victory away at Celta de Vigo underlined their fighting spirit and attacking efficiency. Over the last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. This balance between attack and defense has allowed them to climb closer to safety, even though they still sit 19th in the table with 39 points.
At home, the Ciudad de Valencia has become a fortress. Levante have gone unbeaten in their last six home matches, collecting five wins and one draw. Their ability to perform under pressure in front of their supporters could prove decisive once again. Statistically, they have drawn at half time in eight of their last nine home league games, showing a tendency to start cautiously before stepping up in the second half. Indeed, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 league fixtures, highlighting their late-game intensity.
Across the season, Levante’s record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, their recent improvement in attack has given them renewed hope. The team’s resilience and home advantage make them a formidable opponent in this crucial encounter.
Mallorca arrive in Valencia after a 3-1 defeat away to Getafe, a result that halted their positive momentum. They have managed just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding 1.4 per game. Their inconsistency has kept them hovering just above the relegation zone, currently sitting 18th with 39 points — the same tally as Levante.
While Mallorca have shown flashes of quality, their away form remains a major concern. They have won only one of their last thirteen league trips, losing three of the last four and seven of the last nine. This poor record on the road contrasts sharply with their stronger home performances earlier in the campaign. Over the season, their overall record mirrors Levante’s: 10 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
In their most recent head-to-head against Levante, Mallorca earned a 1-1 draw, and the historical balance between the two sides is perfectly even — two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. However, given their current struggles away from home, Mallorca will need to find extra motivation and discipline to secure a positive result in this high-pressure fixture.
This match is expected to be a tense and tactical affair, with both teams aware of what is at stake. Levante will likely rely on their strong home form and attacking momentum to take control of the game, while Mallorca may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and counterattacks. The hosts’ ability to maintain intensity throughout the second half could be a decisive factor, especially considering their tendency to score late goals.
Both teams have identical season records and goal averages, which suggests a balanced contest. However, the psychological edge and home advantage lean in favor of Levante. Their recent performances at the Ciudad de Valencia, combined with Mallorca’s travel difficulties, make the home side the more likely to prevail. Still, given the pressure of the occasion, a tight and low-scoring match cannot be ruled out.
LEVANTE: Ryan; Manu Sánchez, Moreno, Dela, Toljan; Arriaga, Olasagasti, Pedro Martínez; Brugué, Víctor García, Espí.
Unavailable: Carlos Álvarez, Elgezabal (injured).
MALLORCA: Leo Román; Mojica, David López, Valjent, Maffeo; Samú Costa, Darder, Morlanes, Pablo Torre; Luvumbo, Muriqi.
Unavailable: Mascarell (suspended), Kumbulla, Bergstrom, Joseph, Kalumba, Raíllo (injured).
With both teams level on points and desperate for survival, this fixture carries enormous significance. Levante’s strong home record and recent form give them a clear edge, while Mallorca’s poor away performances raise doubts about their ability to secure a result. The statistics also point toward an open second half, as Levante’s matches frequently see goals after the break. Given the balance of probabilities, the home side appear better positioned to claim a vital victory.
Levante vs Mallorca prediction from BetMines:
Levante win (1) with a 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Mallorca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
6
4
10
0