Tools
Levante
3 - 2
FT
Osasuna
Prediction published on May 6, 2026 7:15 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 6, 2026 7:15 PM
The upcoming La Liga clash between Levante and Osasuna arrives at a crucial moment for both sides. The hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone after a heavy 5-1 defeat against Villarreal, while the visitors are still chasing European ambitions despite their recent 1-2 loss to Barcelona. With contrasting objectives and recent form, this encounter promises to be intense and decisive for the season’s final stretch.
Levante enter this fixture under pressure, sitting 19th in the La Liga standings with a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats. Their average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match highlights the defensive fragility that has cost them valuable points. However, their home form offers a glimmer of hope: three consecutive wins at the Ciudad de Valencia and an unbeaten run of five home games (four wins and one draw) underline their resilience in front of their fans.
In their last five league matches, Levante have recorded two victories, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite the inconsistency, they have shown determination in key home fixtures, including wins over Getafe and Sevilla. Another notable trend is their cautious approach in the first half — they have drawn at half time in seven of their last eight home matches, and at least one team failed to score before the break in 28 of their last 30 league games. These figures suggest that Levante often grow into matches rather than starting aggressively.
In terms of personnel, the team faces several absences, but their recent home momentum could compensate for those setbacks. The players will be fully aware that this match could define their survival hopes, and the home crowd’s support might play a decisive role once again.
Osasuna travel to Valencia in 10th place, with a season record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats. Their balance of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match reflects a team capable of competing evenly but struggling to maintain consistency. In their last five league outings, they have managed one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.4.
Despite their respectable league position, Osasuna’s away form has been disappointing. They have collected only one of the last twelve points available on the road, a statistic that could weigh heavily in this encounter. Their last away victory dates back several weeks, and defensive lapses have often undermined their efforts. Still, the team has shown attacking potential, with both teams scoring in the second half in nine of their last fifteen league matches — a sign that Osasuna tend to open up as games progress.
The visitors will need to overcome the absence of key players and rediscover their efficiency away from home if they want to keep their European hopes alive. Their challenge will be to find the right balance between defensive discipline and offensive ambition, especially against a Levante side that tends to perform strongly at home.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different motivations but similar recent patterns. Levante are desperate for points to avoid relegation, while Osasuna are aiming to stay within reach of the top seven. The home side’s strong record at the Ciudad de Valencia contrasts sharply with Osasuna’s struggles on the road, making the hosts slight favorites according to recent trends.
Historically, this matchup has been balanced, with Levante winning once, drawing once, and losing three of their last five head-to-head meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Levante, suggesting that home advantage could again be decisive. Given both teams’ scoring averages and defensive records, a tight contest with limited goals seems likely. The data also indicates that early goals are rare in Levante’s matches, so the first half could be cautious before opening up later on.
For Levante, maintaining defensive concentration will be essential, while Osasuna will look to exploit transitions and set pieces. The psychological factor could also play a role — Levante’s urgent need for points might push them to take more risks, whereas Osasuna’s mid-table comfort could lead to a more controlled approach.
LEVANTE: Ryan; Toljan, Dela, Matías Moreno, Manu Sánchez; Raghouber, Olasagasti, Pablo Martínez; Víctor García, Brugué; Carlos Espí.
OSASUNA: Sergio Herrera; Rosier, Boyomo, Catena, Javi Galán; Moncayola, Torró, Moi Gómez; Rubén García, Aimar Oroz; Budimir.
Considering the statistical balance and current form, this match is expected to be closely contested. Levante’s strong home record and Osasuna’s poor away performances tilt the scale slightly toward the hosts. However, given the defensive tendencies of both sides and their recent scoring averages, a low-scoring affair is also plausible.
Levante vs Osasuna prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
9
1