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Prediction published on Mar 20, 2026 8:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 20, 2026 8:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Levante UD and Real Oviedo promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the La Liga EA Sports weekend. With both sides struggling near the bottom of the table, this encounter at the Ciudad de Valencia stadium has all the ingredients of a true relegation battle. The hosts sit 19th with 23 points, while the visitors occupy the last position with 21. Every point is crucial at this stage, and both teams will be desperate to secure a victory that could reignite their hopes of survival.
Levante UD approach this match after a 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano on March 16, a result that left a bittersweet taste as they conceded in the final minutes. The team’s recent form shows inconsistency, with only one win in their last five matches, accompanied by two draws and two defeats. During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, reflecting their ongoing struggle to convert chances while maintaining defensive stability.
Across the season, Levante’s record stands at 5 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. These numbers underline the team’s difficulties in both ends of the pitch. However, playing at home could be a decisive factor. The Ciudad de Valencia crowd is expected to play a vital role, pushing the team to deliver a strong performance in this crucial fixture.
In their last head-to-head meeting against Real Oviedo, Levante claimed a 2-0 away victory earlier in the season, a result that could boost their confidence. Historically, though, the balance slightly favors the visitors, with Levante registering 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in the last five encounters. The home side will aim to reverse that trend and take advantage of their local support to secure three valuable points.
Real Oviedo come into this match after a narrow 1-0 victory over Valencia on March 14, a result that ended a poor run and provided a much-needed morale boost. Despite that win, their overall form remains fragile, with one victory, two draws, and two defeats in their last five outings. During this period, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match, showing similar defensive vulnerabilities to their opponents.
Throughout the current La Liga campaign, Real Oviedo have recorded 4 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their attacking inefficiency has been a major concern, and their away record is particularly worrying. The team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 away matches, including the last 14 in La Liga. This trend highlights their defensive fragility on the road, something Levante will look to exploit.
Another notable statistic is that Under 0.5 goals have been scored in only 4 of Real Oviedo’s last 18 league matches, suggesting that while they struggle to score, their games often feature at least one goal. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively and find efficiency in attack if they want to avoid another setback in this decisive encounter.
This fixture is more than just a regular league match—it’s a direct confrontation between two sides fighting for survival. Both teams have endured difficult seasons, and the pressure is immense. A draw would do little to help either side, making this a must-win scenario for both. The home advantage could prove crucial for Levante, who will rely on their supporters to create a charged atmosphere at the Ciudad de Valencia.
From a tactical perspective, Levante are expected to adopt a proactive approach, pushing forward through their attacking players such as Tunde, Romero, Víctor García, and Espí. Their goal will be to break down a Real Oviedo defense that has shown vulnerability away from home. On the other hand, Real Oviedo will likely depend on the efforts of Thiago Fernández, Reina, Chaira, and Viñas to generate offensive opportunities and counter Levante’s pressure.
Given the stakes, both sides are expected to play with intensity and determination. The psychological factor could weigh heavily, especially for the visitors, who have struggled to perform away from home. Levante’s previous win in the reverse fixture and their home advantage make them slight favorites, but the margin for error remains minimal.
All signs point to a tight and tense contest between two sides desperate for points. Levante will look to capitalize on their home advantage and the momentum from their previous victory in the reverse fixture, while Real Oviedo will aim to build on their recent win over Valencia. However, the visitors’ poor away record and defensive issues could tilt the balance in favor of the hosts.
According to the latest probabilities, the most likely outcome is a Levante win (1) with a 45% probability. The draw (X) follows at 29%, while an away win (2) for Real Oviedo stands at 27%. Given these figures and the current form of both teams, the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory.
Levante vs Real Oviedo prediction by BetMines: Levante win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Real Oviedo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1