The upcoming Valencian derby between Levante UD and Villarreal CF promises to be an intense battle between two sides living very different realities in La Liga. This rescheduled fixture from matchday 16 will take place at the Ciutat de València, where both teams will fight for crucial points — Levante to escape the relegation zone and Villarreal to consolidate their position near the top of the table. The home side comes into this clash after a 0-2 defeat against Valencia, while Villarreal also suffered a setback, losing 2-1 to Getafe. Despite the contrasting ambitions, both teams will approach this encounter with maximum intensity, aware of what is at stake.

Levante’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Levante UD are currently 19th in La Liga with 18 points, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats. Their season has been marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match while scoring just 1.1. The team’s recent form reflects their struggles — one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games, including the recent 0-2 home defeat against Valencia. The Ciutat de València has not been a fortress either, with only one home victory all season, accompanied by six defeats and four draws.

Levante’s slow starts have been a recurring issue, as they have lost at half time in six of their last ten home matches. Their attacking output remains modest, and the absence of key players such as Martínez, Raghouber, and Brugué due to injuries further complicates their task. The team will rely heavily on figures like Elgezabal, Vencedor, Losada, Romero, and Etta Eyong to provide stability and creativity. With relegation looming, Levante must find a way to turn their home ground into an advantage and rediscover the fighting spirit that once characterized them.

Villarreal’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Villarreal CF arrive at this derby sitting 3rd in the standings with 45 points, boasting a record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats. Their attacking efficiency has been one of their main strengths, averaging 1.9 goals per game while conceding 1.1. However, their recent form has been uneven, with just one win in their last five matches (one draw and three defeats). The 2-1 loss to Getafe last weekend exposed some defensive vulnerabilities, as the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last twelve matches.

Despite these setbacks, Villarreal remain one of the most entertaining teams in La Liga, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last sixteen league matches. Their away games are rarely dull either, as Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in eighteen of their last twenty away fixtures. Even though they have lost at half time in their last three away matches, the “Yellow Submarine” continue to show attacking intent and resilience. Missing several players — including Thomas, Kambwala, Gerard Moreno, González, Foyth, Costa, and Pau Cabañes — Villarreal will depend on the likes of Gueye, Moleiro, Pérez, and Mikautadze to deliver another strong performance.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The historical record between these two sides favors Villarreal, who have won three of the last five meetings, with Levante claiming one victory and one draw. The average scoreline in these encounters has been 0.8 goals for Levante and 2.4 for Villarreal, underlining the visitors’ dominance. The last time they met at the Ciutat de València, Villarreal triumphed emphatically with a 1-5 scoreline. Given these precedents, the visitors enter this match as clear favorites, but derbies often defy expectations, and Levante’s desperation for points could make this a closer contest than the table suggests.

Both teams tend to produce open matches: Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of Villarreal’s last thirteen away games, while their attacking approach often leaves spaces at the back. Levante, meanwhile, have struggled to maintain defensive discipline, conceding multiple goals in most of their recent outings. The combination of Villarreal’s offensive firepower and Levante’s need to attack could lead to another high-scoring affair.

Levante vs Villarreal Prediction and Final Analysis

Everything points toward a challenging evening for Levante, who are fighting to avoid relegation and face one of the most efficient attacking sides in the league. Villarreal will look to exploit their opponent’s defensive weaknesses and continue their pursuit of the top positions in La Liga. The difference in quality and form between the two teams is significant, and even though Levante will fight with determination, Villarreal’s superior squad depth and attacking rhythm should make the difference.

According to the data, the win probabilities stand at Levante 31%, Draw 26%, and Villarreal 42%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 54%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance. These figures suggest a lively match with goals at both ends, but with the visitors having the upper hand.

Levante vs Villarreal prediction by BetMines:
Villarreal win (2) with 42% probability.