Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia Białystok in the Europa League on Thursday, November 5, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 local time at Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia. Just one point separates the sides ahead of this league-phase meeting: Levski are 17th with four points from three matches, while Jagiellonia are 27th with three. Both arrive after domestic wins, but their recent scoring records tell different stories. Levski have been difficult to beat and their matches have tended to stay within a narrow goals range; Jagiellonia have scored more freely of late, despite some uneven results away from home.

Levski Sofia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Levski Sofia beat Dunav 2010 1-0 away on October 31, extending their unbeaten run to six matches with four wins and two draws. Across their last five games, they have won three and drawn two, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.6 per match. Their longer-term record is also strong: Levski have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 27 matches.

In the Europa League league phase, Levski have one win, one draw and one defeat, with averages of one goal scored and one conceded per game. Their most recent loss was a 1-0 home defeat to Salzburg on matchday two; they followed it with a 1-1 draw away at Nijmegen. That response kept them close to the top 16, although two successive home defeats give them a less reassuring record to address in this fixture.

Levski's goal trends point towards controlled matches. Their last 10 games have all finished under 3.5 total goals, while each of their last 11 has had fewer than two goals before half-time. At least one side has failed to score in the first half in 35 of Levski's last 37 matches. They have also avoided trailing at the interval in 36 of their last 40, a pattern that suggests Jagiellonia may have to be patient for openings.

Jagiellonia Białystok's Recent Form and Key Stats

Jagiellonia Białystok won 3-1 away to Wieczysta Kraków on October 31, their third consecutive victory. Their last five matches have brought three wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They have not drawn any of their last 15 games, so their recent results have been decisive even when their form has fluctuated.

Jagiellonia lost 3-0 at home to Anderlecht on the previous Europa League matchday. Their supplied Europa League season record stands at four wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record offers a mixed picture: they have lost four of their last six trips, but the two wins came consecutively. Their latest away victory gives them encouragement before facing a Levski side with a strong overall unbeaten record.

Goals after the break have been a particularly consistent feature of Jagiellonia's matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 17 games and in each of their last 13 away games. At the same time, six of their last nine away matches in UEFA competitions have been low-scoring. That contrast matters here: their recent output suggests they can contribute goals, but their European away history does not guarantee an open contest.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok Match Analysis

Levski's unbeaten run and low concession rate make them a difficult opponent, while Jagiellonia's three straight wins bring momentum to the visitors. The sides are separated by only one point in the league phase, and neither has been especially prolific with attempts in the competition: Levski have recorded 27 and Jagiellonia 23. Those figures, together with Levski's recent first-half trends, leave room for a cautious start.

The full-match goals picture is less straightforward. Levski have kept each of their last 10 games below four total goals, but Jagiellonia's last-five scoring average is two per match, and their matches have repeatedly produced second-half goals. A game with three goals would fit Levski's under-3.5 sequence while reflecting the visitors' stronger recent attacking output. Whether the match opens up may depend on how long Levski can maintain the defensive consistency shown across their last five fixtures.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.