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Levski Sofia
5:30 PM
August 4, 2026
Kairat
Prediction published on Aug 2, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Aug 2, 2026 6:05 PM
Levski Sofia welcome Kairat Almaty to Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov on Tuesday for the opening leg of their Champions League third-round qualifying tie. Both teams enter the contest with strong recent records, making this an intriguing match between a home side unbeaten in ten games across all competitions and visitors who have won nine of their previous ten. Levski have been particularly effective on their own ground, while Kairat arrive after overcoming Omonia Nicosia in the previous round. With an important place in the next qualifying stage at stake, establishing an advantage in this first meeting will be the immediate objective.
Levski Sofia secured their place in the third qualifying round after a demanding tie against Universitatea Craiova. A 1-0 home victory in the first leg gave the Blues a narrow advantage before they earned a 2-2 draw in the return fixture, progressing by a 3-2 aggregate score. That result underlined their ability to protect a lead away from home while still making an impact in attack.
The hosts followed that European success with a convincing 3-0 victory over Septemvri Sofia on August 1, 2026. That result extended their unbeaten sequence to ten matches in all competitions since mid-May. Their last five games have produced four wins and one draw, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Levski’s Champions League campaign has also been consistent so far. Their competition record stands at two wins, two draws and no defeats, while they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The Blues have therefore combined attacking productivity with a record that has allowed them to avoid defeat throughout their four European matches.
Home form provides another source of encouragement. Levski have won each of their four home fixtures in all competitions this season and have scored at least twice in every one of those victories. They have also gone 18 home matches without a draw, suggesting that their games at this venue usually produce a decisive result.
Those numbers point to a recurring pattern: Levski have regularly remained secure during the opening period before matches become more productive after the break. With the first leg being played at home, their current run makes this an important opportunity to build an advantage.
Kairat Almaty approach this fixture with considerable momentum of their own. The visitors have won nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, while their most recent result was a 1-0 victory over Omonia Nicosia on July 29, 2026. That success continued a productive period and helped Kairat advance from the second qualifying round.
Across their last five fixtures, Kairat have recorded four victories and one defeat. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match during that sequence while conceding only 0.6. Their Champions League figures are similarly solid, with three wins and one loss from four matches, accompanied by averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 allowed.
The Yellow and Blacks have also demonstrated that they can produce strong performances away from home. Although they lost the away leg against Omonia 1-0, they had won their previous four away games in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in each victory. That record gives the visitors evidence that they can threaten even without home advantage.
There is, however, a notable Champions League trend surrounding their starts on the road. Kairat have been behind at half time in eight of their last 12 away matches in the competition. That statistic could be significant against a Levski side that has led at the interval in three consecutive home games and has avoided a half-time deficit in 19 straight fixtures on its own ground.
Kairat’s recent defensive figures still merit attention. Conceding an average of 0.6 goals over their last five matches and 0.5 during this Champions League campaign shows that they have generally limited their opponents. Their challenge will be to maintain those standards against hosts averaging two goals per match in both their latest five-game sequence and the current European campaign.
This Champions League qualifier brings together two teams in excellent form. Levski Sofia have the benefit of an unbeaten ten-match sequence and four consecutive home victories this season. Kairat Almaty, meanwhile, have won nine of their previous ten games and arrive with a strong record of four victories from their latest five fixtures.
The opening stages could be especially important. Levski’s last ten home matches have contained fewer than two first-half goals, and the hosts have not trailed at the interval in 19 consecutive games at this venue. Kairat’s record of being behind at half time in eight of their last 12 Champions League away fixtures offers a clear contrast. Levski may therefore view the first period as a chance to establish control without forcing an immediately open contest.
The second half could bring a different rhythm. A goal after the interval has been recorded in 21 of Levski’s last 23 matches, while both teams have shown that they can score consistently during their recent runs. The hosts average 2.0 goals across their last five games, compared with Kairat’s 1.6, but the visitors have conceded only 0.6 per match over the same period.
Levski’s home results and unbeaten European record give them a strong platform, yet Kairat’s nine wins from ten matches make the visitors difficult to dismiss. The central question is whether the Blues can turn their home momentum into a meaningful first-leg advantage or whether Kairat’s recent defensive efficiency can keep the tie finely balanced ahead of the return meeting.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levski Sofia
Kairat
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2