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Levski Sofia
4:45 PM
September 17, 2026
Salzburg
Prediction published on Sep 16, 2026 3:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 16, 2026 3:03 AM
Levski Sofia welcome Salzburg on September 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:45 in the Europa League. The league-phase fixture brings together two teams with contrasting recent European numbers. Levski enter the match ranked 36th in the competition, while Salzburg are 14th. The hosts have been difficult to beat across their wider schedule and possess an outstanding home record, but their latest Europa League matches have produced very few goals. Salzburg, meanwhile, arrive unbeaten this season and have won six of their last seven games. With the visitors carrying stronger attacking figures and Levski showing considerable resilience at home, this Europa League match preview points toward a competitive contest in which the timing of the opening goal could be particularly important.
Levski Sofia drew 0-0 with Botev Vratsa on September 13, extending a short winless sequence to two matches. Their wider five-game record remains positive, however, with three victories, one draw and one defeat. Across that period, Levski averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Those numbers indicate that their recent difficulties have followed a generally productive run rather than a prolonged decline.
The home side's strongest figures concern their ability to avoid defeat. Levski have not lost in 19 of their last 20 matches, and the same record applies specifically to their previous 20 home fixtures. They have also won 18 of their last 20 matches at home. Draws have been uncommon in this setting, with Levski avoiding a draw in 19 of those 20 home games. These statistics underline the scale of Salzburg's challenge despite the difference between the clubs' current Europa League rankings.
Levski have also been consistently secure before the interval. They have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 20 home matches and have avoided a half-time defeat in 31 of their previous 33 games overall. Six of their last 10 home fixtures saw them leading at the break. At the same time, 18 of their last 20 home matches produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, while at least one team failed to score before half-time in 28 of Levski's last 30 fixtures.
The Europa League trend is even more restrictive. The last four matches involving Levski in the competition finished with under 0.5 total goals, as did their last two Europa League home fixtures. Their continental scoring record is therefore an obvious issue ahead of a meeting with opponents who have regularly found the net. In contrast, 18 of Levski's last 20 home games produced at least one second-half goal, so the action has often increased after the interval.
Salzburg travel to this fixture with an unbeaten start to the season. They have won six of their last seven matches, although their most recent appearance ended in a 1-1 draw against Ried on September 11. Over their previous five games, Salzburg collected four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding only 0.6 per match. That combination of attacking production and limited goals against gives the visitors a strong statistical platform.
Their Europa League campaign has also been encouraging. Salzburg have recorded three victories and one draw, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in the competition. They won three of their four qualifying-round matches and kept clean sheets in each of those victories. Salzburg have additionally avoided defeat in their last four European outings, reinforcing the positive momentum established during their unbeaten opening to the season.
Scoring consistency is another major feature of the visitors' recent record. Salzburg have found the net at least once in each of their last 15 matches. Every one of their previous 20 fixtures has contained a second-half goal, while that same pattern has occurred in their last 12 Europa League games. It has also been recorded in 11 consecutive Salzburg away matches, suggesting that the period after half-time has repeatedly delivered decisive attacking moments.
The supplied result probabilities give Salzburg the largest individual chance of victory at 44%. Levski Sofia are rated at 31%, with the draw at 25%. While those percentages do not make the visitors overwhelming favorites, they reflect Salzburg's stronger recent sequence, unbeaten Europa League record and reliable scoring run.
This match presents a clear contrast between Levski Sofia's home strength and Salzburg's current momentum. Levski have won 18 of their last 20 home games and lost only once during that sequence, so their recent record offers substantial resistance to an away side seeking to extend an unbeaten start. Their tendency to remain level or ahead at half-time could also prevent Salzburg from taking immediate control.
However, Levski's recent Europa League numbers raise questions about their attacking output in this competition. Their last four European matches have stayed under 0.5 total goals, including the previous two at home. Salzburg provide a very different profile, having scored in 15 successive games and averaged 3.2 goals across their last five. The visitors have also averaged two goals per Europa League match while conceding only 0.8.
The timing trends suggest that patience may be required. Levski's home matches have frequently remained tight during the opening half, but 18 of their last 20 at home featured a second-half goal. Salzburg's last 20 fixtures have also produced at least one goal after the break. Consequently, even if the early exchanges are controlled, the statistical evidence supports the possibility of greater activity later in the contest.
The historical summary contains only two meetings, with Levski recording no wins, one draw and one defeat. They averaged 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded across those games, while the latest head-to-head ended in a 1-0 Salzburg victory on November 5, 2009. Although the current preview is driven mainly by recent form, that limited record also favors the visitors. Salzburg's six wins in seven matches, unbeaten continental sequence and 15-game scoring streak make an away victory the most coherent conclusion, even against Levski's formidable home results.
Levski Sofia vs Salzburg prediction from BetMines: Salzburg win (2) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levski Sofia
Salzburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3