Tools
Libertad
0 - 1
FT
UCV
Prediction published on May 26, 2026 12:02 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 26, 2026 12:02 AM
The final matchday of Group H in the Copa Libertadores brings together two sides already eliminated from the competition: Libertad and UCV. Although qualification is no longer at stake, both teams will aim to close their campaigns with dignity. For the home side, this fixture represents an opportunity to end a disappointing group stage on a positive note, while the visitors will try to confirm their slightly better performance so far.
Libertad have endured a difficult Copa Libertadores campaign, losing all five of their matches so far. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats reflects their struggles, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Despite this, their home form has shown some improvement, as they remain unbeaten in their last two domestic fixtures. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss against Nacional Asunción on May 24, extending a poor run of results that includes just one win in their last five matches across all competitions.
In the Copa Libertadores, Libertad have struggled to find the net consistently, with Under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten matches. Their defensive line has also been vulnerable, conceding an average of nearly two and a half goals per game. However, one bright spot has been Lorenzo Melgarejo, who has scored four goals in this group stage and leads his team’s domestic scoring charts with 13 goals. His attacking presence could be crucial if Libertad are to end their campaign with a victory.
UCV arrive at this match in third place in Group H, already assured of that position and unable to advance further. Their Copa Libertadores record stands at 2 wins and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. The Venezuelan side’s last outing in the domestic league ended in a 2-1 loss to Academia Puerto Cabello on May 23, while their most recent Libertadores fixture saw them heavily beaten by Rosario Central.
Despite their elimination, UCV have shown a more competitive spirit than their Paraguayan rivals. They have scored in most of their recent matches, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 27 of their last 29 games. Their attack has been led by Juan Manuel Cuesta Baena, who has contributed two goals and one assist in this group stage. However, defensive fragility remains a concern, as they have conceded in every Libertadores match so far.
This fixture may not influence the group standings, but it still offers both sides a chance to end their campaigns on a high note. Libertad will rely on home advantage and the motivation to avoid finishing the group stage without points. Their attack, led by Melgarejo, will look to exploit UCV’s defensive weaknesses. Meanwhile, UCV will aim to repeat their success from the first leg, where they won 3-1, but their recent defensive lapses could make that difficult away from home.
Given the attacking tendencies of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities, another open and goal-filled match is expected. The statistics suggest that both sides are likely to score, and the trend of high-scoring encounters could continue. However, Libertad’s determination to secure a final home win might give them a slight edge in this contest.
Libertad vs UCV prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a probability of 48%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Libertad
UCV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
5
5
10
0