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Lillestrøm
7:00 PM
October 22, 2026
Real Sociedad
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 12:03 AM
Lillestrøm host Real Sociedad in the Europa League on Thursday, October 22, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at Åråsen Stadion. The sides sit next to each other in the competition rankings: Sociedad are 22nd and Lillestrøm 23rd. Both arrive after away wins on October 18, but their European results leave plenty to resolve. Lillestrøm drew 1-1 with Sparta Prague in their most recent Europa League outing, while Sociedad recorded the same score away to Royale Union. Recent scoring trends suggest this could be a close contest without necessarily being a quiet one.
Lillestrøm beat Sandefjord 2-0 away on October 18, ending a run of consecutive draws. They are unbeaten in four competitive matches, with two wins and two draws, and their wider five-game record stands at two wins, two draws and one defeat. Across those five fixtures, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. That recent return gives the hosts some momentum before another European test.
Their Europa League season figures tell a more cautious story: Lillestrøm have recorded no wins, three draws and one loss, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Home results are also a concern, with just one victory inside 90 minutes across their last seven competitive matches at Åråsen Stadion. Their latest Europa League draw showed they can find a goal in this competition, but converting competitive performances into wins remains the challenge.
Goals have nevertheless been a consistent feature of Lillestrøm's fixtures. Their last 19 home matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals, with at least one goal before half-time and at least one after it in every game of that sequence. All of their last 11 matches, home or away, have also featured over 1.5 total goals. Those figures describe the combined score in the matches, rather than goals scored by Lillestrøm alone. Another home pattern is less encouraging for the hosts: they have trailed at half-time in seven of their last ten home games.
Real Sociedad travel after a 5-2 victory away to Málaga on October 18. That result followed their 1-1 Europa League draw at Royale Union and extended their unbeaten run to three matches, comprising two wins and a draw. Over their last five games, Sociedad have three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their recent results indicate attacking strength, although the goals-against figure shows that their opponents have found opportunities too.
Sociedad have been particularly effective on recent trips, going unbeaten across their last four competitive away matches with three wins and a draw. Their Europa League season record is less convincing: no wins, one draw and one defeat, alongside averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded. The visit to Lillestrøm therefore gives them a chance to carry their broader away form into the competition.
Their European games have repeatedly involved goals. Real Sociedad have scored at least once in each of their last 14 Europa League matches, and every game in that run has produced over 1.5 total goals. The same total-goals threshold has been met in their last ten Europa League away fixtures. Defensively, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 away matches and in 19 of their last 20 matches overall. Both teams have scored in the second half in each of Sociedad's last four matches, including all four away games in that sequence.
This Europa League preview brings together a home side trying to improve its results at Åråsen Stadion and a visitor with a strong recent away record. Lillestrøm's win over Sandefjord ended their sequence of draws, while Sociedad's five-goal display at Málaga underlined their scoring potential. Yet neither side has a Europa League win in the supplied season records, so their latest domestic results do not settle the question of who will take control on Thursday.
The goal patterns offer a clearer point of comparison. Lillestrøm's long run of home matches with at least two total goals meets a Sociedad side that has scored in 14 consecutive Europa League games but has also conceded regularly. In addition, both teams have scored in ten of Sociedad's last 13 UEFA competition matches. Those records do not guarantee another exchange of goals, particularly with Lillestrøm averaging below one goal per game in their Europa League season statistics. They do, however, explain why chances at both ends are a central theme ahead of this fixture.
Sociedad's three wins in four recent competitive away matches may give them confidence, while Lillestrøm's four-game unbeaten run gives the hosts a response of their own. If the home side can build on its Sandefjord result, Sociedad's record of conceding on the road offers an opening. Equally, the visitors' sustained European scoring run presents a test for Lillestrøm. With both sides close in the competition rankings, their contrasting home and away records should make for an intriguing Europa League meeting.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lillestrøm
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
5
5