Lithuania vs Finland Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | World Cup Qualification

Just three days after their debut in Group G, Lithuania and Finland face off in their second match of the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers. At the Darius & Girėnas Stadium in Kaunas, the hosts aim to secure their first points in the standings after losing the opening match against Poland 1-0. Despite the technical gap between the two teams, Lithuania put in a solid performance, conceding only ten minutes from the end and creating several scoring chances, forcing Skorupski into crucial saves to keep his clean sheet. This encouraging display against Lewandowski and company bodes well for their home clash against Finland, who come into the match after a narrow 1-0 victory over Malta. Jakob Friis' Finland knows that a win could put them in a promising position for qualification, potentially sitting at six points after two rounds. The Eagle-owls are aware that to challenge Poland, while waiting to see whether Spain or the Netherlands will complete Group G, they must secure maximum points against the more beatable teams. Having already defeated Malta, the only objective now is to claim three more points against Lithuania.

Lithuania's Recent Form & Key Statistics

After losing 1-0 to Poland, Lithuania recorded their seventh consecutive defeat, following six losses in the Nations League. Jankauskas' squad finished bottom of League C, Group 2, without securing a single point, trailing Romania, Kosovo, and Cyprus.

Offensive struggles persist for Lithuania, as they have failed to score in their last two matches. Their Nations League campaign was similarly disappointing, with only four goals scored and eleven conceded (almost two per game).

Finland's Recent Form & Key Statistics

Thanks to a narrow 1-0 win against Malta, secured by a decisive goal from Antman, Finland ended a run of six consecutive defeats. Like Lithuania, they also finished bottom of their Nations League group without earning a single point.

The six losses led to Finland's relegation to League C, prompting the federation to appoint Danish coach Jakob Friis. The former Augsburg assistant coach has been tasked with improving both defensive stability and attacking efficiency, as Finland had managed only two goals scored and conceded thirteen in their six Nations League matches before their victory over Malta.

Lithuania vs Finland Prediction & Tactical Overview

Both Lithuania and Finland had identical winless campaigns in the Nations League, suffering six defeats each. However, Finland had a much tougher group, facing England, Greece, and Ireland, while Lithuania played against Cyprus, Kosovo, and Romania.

In terms of match prediction, this is expected to be a tight and cagey encounter, with both teams eager for victory: the hosts aiming to end a long losing streak, while the visitors look to build momentum and establish themselves as Poland's main challenger.

One thing is certain: both teams struggle offensively. Given this, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Lithuania vs Finland suggests Under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome.

• The BetMines prediction for the Lithuania vs Finland match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 60%.
• The BetMines prediction for the Lithuania vs Finland match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 40%.

Predicted Lineups Lithuania vs Finland

Lithuania (3-4-2-1): Gertmonas; Kazukolovas, Utkus, Tutyskinas; Sirvys, Antanavicius, Gineitis, Lasickas; Golubickas, Dolznikov; Kucys. Coach: Jankauskas.

Finland (4-3-3): Hradecky; Alho, Tenho, Ivanov, Uronen; Jensen, Peltola, Kairinen; Antman, Pohjanpalo, Kallman. Coach: Friis.