Lithuania host Liechtenstein on November 16 in the final round of their UEFA Nations League group, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 at S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. Azerbaijan have already secured first place, leaving Lithuania second and Liechtenstein third going into this fixture. Lithuania won the reverse meeting 2-0, their only victory in the group so far. For the hosts, this is a chance to finish with another positive result; for Liechtenstein, it is an opportunity to end a long winless run and find a goal after a difficult stretch in attack.

Lithuania's Recent Form and Key Stats

Lithuania have recorded one win, one draw and one defeat in this Nations League campaign, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match and conceding 0.7. Their group victory came away to Liechtenstein, where they kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 result. They then drew 1-1 with Azerbaijan before losing 1-0 to the same opponents. Those results leave them unable to catch the group winners, but their earlier success against Liechtenstein gives them a clear point of reference for the return fixture.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Lithuania have two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in that sequence. A 3-0 friendly win over Andorra and a 0-0 draw with Suriname on November 12 are among their recent results, while three clean sheets in five outings underline their defensive record. They have not won at half-time in their last 20 Nations League matches, however, so their overall advantage in this fixture does not necessarily point to a fast start.

Liechtenstein's Recent Form and Key Stats

Liechtenstein enter the final group match without a Nations League win this season. Their record of one draw and two defeats has come with an average of 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The latest result supplied is a 1-0 loss to Azerbaijan on November 13. More broadly, their last five matches have brought one draw and four defeats, with no goals scored and an average of 1.4 conceded.

The longer-term figures are also challenging for the visitors: they have not won in their last 40 matches, their last 20 away matches or their last 16 Nations League matches. They have lost 36 of their last 39 games, while conceding at least once in 38 of their last 40. Away from home, they have conceded in 19 of their last 20 matches. Those runs make keeping Lithuania out a significant task, even though the hosts have averaged only one goal per game in this Nations League group.

Goals at the other end have been scarce. At least one team has failed to score in each of Liechtenstein's last 15 matches, and the visitors have scored only twice across their last 10 outings. They have also failed to win at half-time in their last 15 matches and in their last 20 away fixtures. These numbers do not determine what will happen on November 16, but they explain why Liechtenstein's attacking output is central to this preview.

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein Match Analysis

The recent meetings strengthen Lithuania's case. They are unbeaten in the last four encounters with Liechtenstein and have kept a clean sheet in all four, winning three. The most recent was the 2-0 Lithuania win away from home on September 24. Across the five meetings covered by the head-to-head summary, Lithuania have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. That record fits the pattern of competitive matches in which Lithuania have found a way to score while limiting Liechtenstein's chances of doing the same.

The main question is whether Lithuania can turn their defensive advantage into another win. Their two victories in the last five matches compare favorably with Liechtenstein's four defeats over the same span, and the visitors' long run without an away win adds to the contrast. Lithuania's failure to win at half-time in recent Nations League games is a reason to be cautious about how quickly the match might develop. Nevertheless, their clean sheets in this fixture and Liechtenstein's recent scoring record point most consistently toward a game in which both sides do not get on the scoresheet.

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 62% probability.