The FA Cup Round 4 clash between Liverpool and Brighton & Hove Albion promises to deliver high drama and intensity. Both sides enter this encounter with contrasting ambitions and form. For Liverpool, this competition represents a vital opportunity to regain momentum and perhaps secure a route back into Europe. Brighton, meanwhile, are fighting to rediscover their rhythm after a difficult run of results that has left them hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone. With both teams desperate for a positive outcome, this fixture could be one of the standout ties of the round.

Liverpool’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Liverpool come into this match on the back of a narrow but crucial 1-0 victory over Sunderland on February 11, 2026. That result extended their impressive run of three wins in their last four matches and ensured they remain unbeaten in 16 of their previous 18 games across all competitions. In the FA Cup, the Reds have been particularly dominant, boasting an average of 4.0 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game this season.

At home, Liverpool have been formidable. They have won at half time in their last four FA Cup home matches and have not trailed at the break in any of their last 18 fixtures in the competition. Their attacking consistency is equally impressive, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 21 of their last 22 home games. The Reds’ ability to maintain pressure and find goals after the interval has been a defining feature of their campaign.

In their last five outings, Liverpool have recorded three wins, no draws, and two defeats, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their recent 2-0 victory over Brighton earlier this season will also serve as a psychological boost heading into this FA Cup tie. Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and averaging 2.2 goals per game against the Seagulls.

Brighton & Hove Albion’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion arrive at Anfield in a far less convincing state. The Seagulls suffered a 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa on February 11, 2026, extending their winless streak to five matches. Over that period, they have managed just two draws and three losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding 1.2 per game. Their attacking struggles have been evident, with the team failing to score in their last two fixtures.

Despite their poor league form, Brighton’s FA Cup campaign has offered brief moments of hope. They have one win in the competition this season, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, their defensive vulnerabilities and lack of cutting edge in front of goal remain major concerns. Even though over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last ten matches, those goals have often come against them rather than in their favor.

Brighton’s away record also paints a mixed picture. While they have seen over 0.5 goals in the second half in 20 of their last 21 away games, they have struggled to turn those opportunities into victories. Their last five matches have yielded no wins, and their inability to maintain defensive discipline has cost them valuable points. The Seagulls’ last triumph came in the previous FA Cup round against Manchester United, but since then, their form has dipped sharply.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

When it comes to recent meetings, Liverpool have had the upper hand. The Reds have won four of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory on December 13, 2025. Brighton’s only success in that span came in the 2023 FA Cup, when they eliminated Liverpool in a memorable upset. However, the current form of both sides suggests a repeat of that result is unlikely.

Liverpool’s strength lies in their balance across the pitch. Their defensive pairing has been instrumental in maintaining stability, while their attacking unit continues to deliver goals consistently. The Reds’ ability to dominate possession and create chances from wide areas could prove decisive against a Brighton side that has struggled to contain quick transitions and aerial threats.

For Brighton, the key will be resilience and efficiency. They will need to stay compact defensively and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities. However, given their recent scoring drought and defensive lapses, the challenge of keeping Liverpool at bay for 90 minutes appears daunting. The Seagulls’ reliance on a few key players for goals has made them predictable, and unless they find a new spark, they may struggle to trouble the hosts.

Final Analysis and Prediction

All indicators point toward a strong performance from Liverpool. Their superior form, home advantage, and attacking depth make them clear favorites. Brighton’s recent struggles, particularly in front of goal, further tilt the balance in Liverpool’s favor. The Reds’ consistency in scoring after halftime and their unbeaten streak in the FA Cup underline their momentum heading into this clash.

Based on the available data, the most likely outcome is a Liverpool win (1). The probability of this result stands at 56%, compared to 20% for a draw and 24% for a Brighton win. Additionally, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62%, suggesting an open and attacking contest. Both teams have also shown tendencies toward high-scoring second halves, which could make this an entertaining fixture for neutrals.

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 56% probability.