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Liverpool
2:00 PM
October 25, 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 4:38 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 4:38 PM
Liverpool host Brighton & Hove Albion at Anfield on Sunday, October 25, in a Premier League Matchday 8 fixture. The sides arrive with contrasting strengths: Liverpool have won their last three matches in all competitions but are still seeking a first home league victory of the season, while Brighton sit third after a prolific and defensively impressive start. With 13 goals scored across their last four league meetings, this is a fixture worth watching closely for chances at both ends.
Liverpool return to league action after Tuesday's 4-3 Champions League win over Villarreal. That result followed a 2-1 comeback victory against Brentford and extended their winning run to three matches across all competitions. Their broader five-game record stands at four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
The recent scoring surge comes with a warning: Liverpool have conceded 10 goals in their last four matches. Andoni Iraola's side were not especially convincing against Brentford despite spending much of that game with a numerical advantage; they created one big chance and recorded five shots on target. In the Premier League, their record after seven games is three wins, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded.
Anfield has yet to deliver a league win for Liverpool this season, with two draws and one defeat from their three home fixtures. They also failed to score in the last two of those games. Longer-term figures offer a different perspective: at least two total goals have been scored in 19 of Liverpool's last 20 home matches, and they have avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of those 20. Liverpool are also unbeaten in their last six home meetings with Brighton across all competitions.
There were individual positives against Villarreal. Rio Ngumoha started and supplied two assists, while Florian Wirtz scored his first goal of the season after coming off the bench. Wirtz has also created 20 chances from open play in the Premier League this season. Liverpool's listed injury absentees are Hugo Ekitike, Giovanni Leoni, Conor Bradley, Dominik Szoboszlai and Jeremie Frimpong; Ryan Gravenberch is eligible to return after suspension.
Brighton & Hove Albion have collected 16 points from their first seven Premier League games, winning five, drawing one and losing one. Their 23 goals scored are the most in the division, while their five goals conceded represent a joint-low total. Those figures translate to league averages of 3.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
Their attacking output is supported by more than the scorelines. Brighton have recorded 14.91 expected goals, 125 shots and a league-high 42 shots on target. Fabian Hürzeler's side beat Crystal Palace 5-0 in their latest league outing before drawing 0-0 with Jablonec in the Conference League on Thursday. Across their last five matches, they have four wins, one draw and five consecutive clean sheets, averaging 2.8 goals scored without conceding.
Charalampos Kostoulas has registered six shots on target in his last five league appearances and five goal contributions across his last four. Pascal Gross has seven goal contributions this season and ranks second in the league for chances created with 19. Brighton will be without Kaoru Mitoma, Femi Azeez, Evan Ferguson and Stefanos Tsimas. Yankuba Minteh, Mats Wieffer, Pascal Struijk and Zadok Yohanna are listed as doubts.
The main question is whether Brighton can preserve their recent defensive record against a Liverpool side whose attack has gathered pace. The hosts have scored 12 goals in their last three matches, including four against Villarreal, but the 10 they have conceded across four games suggest there may be opportunities for the visitors. Brighton, meanwhile, have the league's highest goal total and a strong volume of shots on target, even if Thursday's goalless draw interrupted their scoring run.
Liverpool's six-match unbeaten home sequence against Brighton gives them a useful head-to-head record, but their failure to win any of their first three home league games this season makes that advantage less clear-cut. Recent meetings have produced goals: the last four league encounters yielded 13 in total, and the most recent head-to-head finished 2-1 on March 21. Brighton's clean-sheet streak adds an intriguing counterpoint, yet the combined attacking numbers make multiple goals a coherent expectation for this Premier League clash.
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
8
2
6
4