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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 4:02 PM
Liverpool host Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday, October 11, in a Premier League meeting between two unbeaten sides. City arrive at the top of the table after winning all five league matches, while sixth-placed Liverpool have two wins and three draws. The visitors have made the stronger start, but Liverpool have also avoided defeat and will be looking to turn another close contest into a victory. With both teams carrying long scoring runs into the fixture, this match presents a test of Liverpool’s home form and City’s perfect league record.
Liverpool entered the international break with a 1-0 away win over AFC Bournemouth on September 20. That result took their record across the last five matches to four wins and one draw, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. It is a strong recent return, even if their Premier League record of two wins and three draws shows how often they have had to settle for a point. In the league this season, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Anfield has not been an easy place to beat Liverpool, but their home results have included two draws in four competitive fixtures this season. They have also recorded four consecutive Premier League draws at the venue, making the ability to finish a game strongly a relevant question against opponents who have won every league match so far. Liverpool’s scoring record offers encouragement: they have found the net in 21 of their last 22 Premier League matches. They have not been behind at half-time in 20 of their last 21 home matches and have led at the break in 13 of those games.
There are fitness concerns following the international break. Jeremy Jacquet, Cody Gakpo and Alexander Isak were injured on national duty and remain doubtful, while Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley are longer-term absentees. Isak scored the winner against Bournemouth and has four Premier League goals this season, so his availability matters to Liverpool’s attack. Dominik Szoboszlai has scored twice in his last four matches for the club and also found the net in Liverpool’s 2-1 defeat in this fixture last season.
Manchester City reached the break with a 5-3 home win over Sunderland on September 20. Their last five matches have produced five victories, with averages of 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In the Premier League, their five wins from five have come with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per fixture. They have also won all three of their away matches in all competitions this season, including a 1-0 victory over Manchester United in which they played much of the game with ten men.
City’s scoring streak stretches beyond their perfect start: they have scored in each of their last 21 Premier League matches. They have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 league games and have not trailed at half-time in 22 of their last 24. A goal has been scored in the second half in 19 of City’s last 21 matches, suggesting that their games frequently remain active after the interval.
Erling Haaland leads the league scoring figures before this round with five goals. He also scored three times in four games for Norway during the international break. Rayan Cherki has contributed three goals and two assists in the Premier League this season. City do have availability issues: Phil Foden is serving the second match of a three-game suspension, while Nico O'Reilly and Antoine Semenyo are doubtful after returning from international duty with knocks.
The recent head-to-head record adds another layer to this Premier League preview. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied figures, Liverpool have two wins and City have three, with Liverpool averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. City also won all three meetings between the teams last season. Those results favor the visitors, although Liverpool’s unbeaten league start and recent improvement leave room for a competitive contest at Anfield.
The last six Premier League meetings between the sides have been described as low-scoring, but their current attacking records point to a different possibility. Liverpool have scored in 21 of their last 22 league games, and City have scored in 21 straight Premier League matches. City’s higher scoring average comes with one goal conceded per league fixture, while Liverpool have conceded 0.8 per game. The balance between those scoring streaks and both sides’ unbeaten starts is central to assessing this matchup: neither team needs to dominate for each to find a goal.
Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Manchester City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
5
5