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Prediction published on Feb 24, 2025 12:15 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 24, 2025 3:10 PM
Among the most exciting midweek clashes of Premier League Matchday 27, the showdown at Anfield between Liverpool, on their way to the title, and Newcastle United, fighting for a crucial top-four finish, stands out. This match also serves as a preview of the upcoming Carabao Cup final set for March 16 at the legendary Wembley Stadium, where these two teams will battle for the trophy. On Wednesday, however, Premier League action takes center stage, with Liverpool leading the table after 26 rounds, further strengthening their position with a 2-0 victory against Manchester City in the previous match. Arne Slot’s team, proving capable of carrying Klopp’s heavy legacy, now holds an 11-point lead over Arsenal, who have a game in hand, with 12 matches left in the season. Newcastle United, as mentioned, is chasing a Champions League spot, aiming for a return after their short-lived participation in the 2023/2024 edition. Thanks to a 4-3 victory over Nottingham Forest, the Magpies are now just three points behind third place and approach this season finale with renewed optimism.
Liverpool has lost only once in the Premier League this season (Matchday 4) and is unbeaten in the last 23 league games. At home, the Reds have won 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (2 draws) and in their last 17 home games at Anfield, Liverpool has always scored at least 2 goals.
The main driving force behind Liverpool’s impressive campaign is Mohamed Salah. With his goal against Manchester City in the previous round, the Egyptian forward became the first player in the top five European leagues to contribute to 50 goals across all competitions in the 2024/2025 season.
Newcastle United heads into this match following a 4-3 victory over Nottingham Forest, breaking a two-game losing streak. Their top-four hopes rely heavily on Alexander Isak, the Premier League’s second-top scorer with 19 goals, trailing only Salah.
Away from home, Eddie Howe’s side has been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions (1 draw, 2 defeats). In the Premier League, their away record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.69 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per match.
The last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides saw 4 wins for Liverpool and 1 draw—the latter being the 3-3 thriller at St. James’ Park earlier this season. Notably, in four of these five encounters, at least three goals were scored.
Despite Newcastle’s Champions League ambitions, Liverpool has been dominant this season and will likely want to wrap up the Premier League title race early to focus on their Champions League Round of 16 clash against PSG.
Given these factors, BetMines' algorithm strongly favors Liverpool’s victory.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, MacAllister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz; Gakpo. Coach: Slot
Newcastle United (4-3-3): Pope; Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Willock; Murphy, Isak, Gordon. Coach: Howe
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Newcastle United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1