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Prediction published on Mar 9, 2025 2:40 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Mar 9, 2025 2:40 PM
On Tuesday, March 11, at the legendary Anfield, Liverpool and Paris Saint Germain will battle for a crucial spot in the Champions League quarter-finals. The home side holds the advantage after securing a narrow 0-1 victory at the Parc des Princes in the first leg. The Reds displayed resilience, withstanding relentless Parisian attacks for 90 minutes and striking late through Harvey Elliott, who netted his third consecutive Champions League goal. Luis Enrique’s men were unlucky not to get a better result, having dominated with 27 total shots compared to just two from Liverpool. However, they failed to beat Alisson, who was undoubtedly the man of the match, and also had a stunning goal by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia disallowed. Now, Paris Saint Germain must win at Anfield by at least two goals to progress, while Liverpool would advance even with a draw. Given Arne Slot’s side's narrow lead and PSG’s strong first-leg performance, this promises to be an exciting, unpredictable encounter—hopefully featuring more goals this time.
Liverpool heads into this clash on a high, following a 3-1 win over Southampton with a Salah brace and a goal from Núñez, putting them on the brink of winning the Premier League.
Their comfortable lead over Arsenal allows Arne Slot to focus on the Champions League campaign and the upcoming Carabao Cup final on March 16.
The Reds topped the single-group stage with 21 points, losing only the final, inconsequential match to PSV. At home, they have lost only one game all season, back on September 14 in the Premier League.
Paris Saint Germain also arrives at this crucial fixture as the dominant Ligue 1 leader. Their latest 4-1 victory at Rennes with a Dembele brace, plus goals from Ramos and Barcola, extended their lead to +16 points over Olympique Marseille.
In contrast to their domestic dominance, PSG’s Champions League campaign has been more challenging. They finished the first stage in 15th place with 13 points, recording four wins, one draw, and three losses. In the playoffs, they easily dispatched Brest, winning 10-0 on aggregate.
Chasing a one-goal deficit, Paris Saint Germain will need to take an attacking approach, aiming to score early and reignite their qualification hopes. However, this aggressive strategy could expose them to Liverpool’s counter-attacks, similar to how Elliott sealed the first-leg victory.
Despite holding the advantage, Liverpool is not a defensive team and could look to capitalize on their home support to finish PSG’s comeback hopes early.
One thing that seems certain is entertainment, as confirmed by the BetMines algorithm prediction for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain, suggesting the possibility of a match with more than two goals.
LIVERPOOL (4-3-3): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai; Salah, Diogo Jota, Luis Diaz. Manager: Slot
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; Joao Neves, Vitinha, Fabian; Barcola, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia. Manager: Enrique
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1