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Prediction published on Nov 24, 2025 11:02 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 24, 2025 11:02 PM
The UEFA Champions League returns to Anfield for a crucial Group Stage clash as Liverpool host PSV Eindhoven on Wednesday, November 26, 2025. The Reds, currently eighth in the standings, are looking to bounce back from a poor domestic run and secure their place in the knockout rounds. PSV, sitting 18th, arrive in England full of confidence after an impressive unbeaten streak in all competitions. With both sides known for their attacking intent, this encounter promises goals, drama, and high stakes under the Anfield lights.
Liverpool enter this fixture under pressure following a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. That result marked their second consecutive loss and extended a worrying trend of inconsistency. The Reds have lost eight of their last eleven competitive matches, winning only three during that stretch. Despite this, their home record remains a source of optimism — seven wins in their last ten matches at Anfield show that they are still a formidable force on Merseyside.
In the Champions League, Liverpool have collected nine points from four games (W3, L1). Their victories came against Atletico Madrid (3-2), Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1), and Real Madrid (1-0), while their only defeat was a narrow 1-0 loss away to Galatasaray. The Reds have not drawn any of their last 25 Champions League matches, a statistic that highlights their all-or-nothing approach in Europe. Furthermore, they have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games in the competition, showing their ability to start strong in front of their fans.
Manager Arne Slot faces selection challenges, with Florian Wirtz, Conor Bradley, and Stefan Bajcetic unavailable due to injuries. The long-term absence of Jeremie Frimpong also limits defensive options. Slot is expected to stick with his preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, though questions remain about the chemistry between Alexander Isak and Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian forward will be under the spotlight, as he is just two goals away from reaching 50 in the Champions League — a milestone that would make him the first African player to achieve that feat. Meanwhile, Cody Gakpo will be eager to impress against his former club, having contributed one goal and one assist in this European campaign.
PSV Eindhoven travel to Anfield in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 11 competitive matches (W8, D3). Their recent 1-0 victory over NAC Breda extended a run that includes seven wins in their last eight outings. In the Champions League, PSV have collected five points from four games (W1, D2, L1), with their only defeat coming in a 3-1 home loss to Union St. Gilloise. They followed that with 1-1 draws away to Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos, before a resounding 6-2 home win over Napoli.
Statistically, PSV have been one of the most entertaining sides in Europe this season. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 matches, and both teams have found the net in each of their last ten Champions League fixtures. The Dutch side have scored in their last 19 away matches and conceded in their last 17 away games in the competition, underlining their attacking flair and defensive vulnerability. They have also remained unbeaten in their last 15 away matches in all competitions, a record that will give them confidence heading into this trip.
Coach Peter Bosz is expected to maintain his attacking 4-2-3-1 setup, with Guus Til leading the line. Til has already scored nine goals in the Eredivisie and contributed two assists in Europe. The creative spark will come from Dennis Man, who has been in outstanding form with four goals and two assists in his last eight appearances. The Romanian winger has also scored twice in his last two Champions League matches, both against Napoli. PSV’s injury list is relatively short, with Alassane Plea and Ruben van Bommel sidelined, while Joel van den Berg remains a doubt.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting European fortunes. Liverpool’s pedigree in the Champions League is unquestionable, but their current form raises concerns. The Reds have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly in defense, where lapses have cost them valuable points domestically. However, their attacking potential remains high, especially with Salah chasing history and Gakpo motivated to perform against his former club.
PSV, on the other hand, have been dominant in the Eredivisie and are translating that confidence into Europe. Their attacking trio of Til, Man, and Saibari has been prolific, but their defensive record away from home in the Champions League remains a weakness. PSV have conceded in each of their last 12 matches in the competition, and their open style could leave them exposed against Liverpool’s pace on the counterattack.
Historically, Liverpool have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings and averaging 2.4 goals per game while conceding just one. The last encounter between the sides ended 3-2 in favor of the Reds, suggesting another high-scoring affair could be on the cards. With both teams showing a tendency for goals, the Anfield crowd can expect an entertaining contest filled with attacking football and defensive risks.
LIVERPOOL (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Endo; Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Isak. Coach: A. Slot
PSV EINDHOVEN (4-2-3-1): Benítez; Teze, Boscagli, Ramalho, Dest; Veerman, Schouten; Saibari, Til, Man; Pepi. Coach: P. Bosz
The most likely outcome is a Liverpool win (1) with a 44% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 21%, while a PSV win (2) stands at 35%.
Additionally, the data suggests a strong chance of goals at both ends, with Both Teams To Score (Yes) having a 63% probability. Given the attacking form of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities, another high-scoring encounter seems likely at Anfield.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
2
8
4.5
8
2
5
5