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Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League 04-11-2025

Liverpool

1 - 0

FT

Real Madrid

Anfield
I. Kovacs
light rain °C

Prediction published on Nov 2, 2025 9:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 2, 2025 9:51 PM

The UEFA Champions League returns with a blockbuster encounter as Liverpool host Real Madrid at Anfield on Tuesday night. With both sides sitting in the top half of the league phase standings, this clash could prove decisive in the race for a direct spot in the round of 16. The Reds currently occupy 10th place, while Los Blancos are flying high in fifth. The stakes are high, the atmosphere will be electric, and both teams will be desperate to make a statement on one of European football’s grandest stages.


Liverpool’s Recent Form and Key Stats


After a turbulent few weeks, Liverpool finally managed to steady the ship with a much-needed 2-0 home win over Aston Villa on November 1. That result ended a dreadful run of six defeats in seven matches across all competitions. Manager Arne Slot will hope that victory marks a turning point, especially as his side had conceded in ten consecutive games prior to that clean sheet. The Reds’ defensive frailties have been a recurring issue, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match over their last five outings.


In the Champions League, Liverpool have been unpredictable but entertaining. They have not drawn any of their last 24 matches in the competition, a streak that underlines their all-or-nothing approach. At Anfield, they remain a formidable force, having avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games in Europe. The Reds also tend to start fast, with over 0.5 goals scored before half time in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. Offensively, they average 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defensive lapses could again be exposed by Madrid’s attacking firepower.


Injury concerns continue to plague Slot’s squad. Goalkeeper Alisson Becker remains sidelined with a hip injury, while defenders Giovanni Leoni and Jeremie Frimpong are also unavailable. Record signing Alexander Isak misses out due to a groin issue, and Curtis Jones faces a late fitness test. The absence of key players could force Liverpool to rely heavily on their attacking trio to compensate for defensive instability.


Real Madrid’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Real Madrid arrive in England in scintillating form. Under Xabi Alonso, Los Blancos have recorded an extraordinary 17-1-2 record in competitive fixtures and are currently on a six-match winning streak across all competitions. Their most recent results include a 2-1 victory over Barcelona in El Clasico and a dominant 4-0 home win against Valencia. During this run, Madrid have scored 16 goals and conceded just two, showcasing both attacking flair and defensive discipline.


Madrid’s consistency has been remarkable. They have not drawn any of their last 19 matches in the Champions League and have scored in each of their last 14 games. Away from home, they remain dangerous, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 11 consecutive away fixtures. Their ability to finish strongly could prove decisive at Anfield, especially against a Liverpool side that often fades late in matches.


In terms of personnel, Alonso faces fewer injury headaches than his counterpart. Dani Carvajal remains out following knee surgery, while Antonio Rudiger is still recovering from a muscle problem. However, David Alaba could return to bolster the defense. The spotlight will once again fall on Kylian Mbappe, who has been in unstoppable form. The French forward has scored in 15 of his last 17 matches for club and country, netting five goals in three Champions League appearances this season. His pace and precision, combined with the creativity of Vinicius Jr and Jude Bellingham, make Madrid’s attack one of the most feared in Europe.


Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Tactical Overview and Prediction


This fixture has all the ingredients of a classic. Both teams are known for their attacking intent, and recent meetings have produced goals and drama. Liverpool’s last win over Real Madrid came in November 2024, a 2-0 victory at Anfield, but the Spanish giants have dominated the head-to-head overall with three wins in the last five encounters. The Reds’ high pressing and quick transitions could trouble Madrid’s backline, yet their defensive vulnerabilities remain a major concern.


Real Madrid, on the other hand, are playing with confidence and cohesion under Alonso. Their midfield trio, led by Bellingham, has been dictating games with authority, while Mbappe’s explosive form adds a lethal edge. Given Liverpool’s injury issues and defensive instability, Madrid’s attacking trio could find plenty of space to exploit. Expect an open contest with chances at both ends, particularly as both sides have shown a tendency to score and concede in equal measure.


Statistically, both teams are involved in high-scoring affairs. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 24 of Liverpool’s last 25 matches, while Real Madrid have seen second-half goals in 37 of their last 39 Champions League games. With both sides averaging more than two goals per game recently, another goal-filled encounter seems likely.


BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% probability. Both teams possess immense attacking quality, and given their recent scoring trends, a high-scoring match appears the most probable scenario at Anfield.

Liverpool vs Real Madrid - Predictions

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Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Liverpool

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Liverpool and Real Madrid in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

3

Liverpool

8

6

0

2

20:8

18

2.25

W
L
W
W
W
9

Real Madrid

8

5

0

3

21:12

15

1.88

L
W
L
W
L
8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Liverpool vs Real Madrid be played?
The Champions League match between Liverpool and Real Madrid will be played on November 4, 2025 at 20:00.
Where will Liverpool vs Real Madrid be played?
The match between Liverpool and Real Madrid will be played at Anfield, Liverpool - Europe
Who will referee Liverpool vs Real Madrid?
The referee for the match will be I. Kovacs.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Liverpool vs Real Madrid in the Champions League?
The odds are: Liverpool to win 2.40, draw 3.90, Real Madrid to win 2.60.
What are the betting odds for Liverpool vs Real Madrid for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Champions League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.36 and Under 2.5 at 3.20.
Will both Liverpool and Real Madrid score in the Champions League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.36, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 3.00.
What are the head-to-head results between Liverpool and Real Madrid?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Liverpool and Real Madrid, Liverpool won 1 times, Real Madrid won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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