Tools
Prediction published on Sep 13, 2026 7:33 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Sep 13, 2026 7:33 PM
Liverpool host Tottenham Hotspur at Anfield on September 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 in the third round of the Carabao Cup. Liverpool are attempting to reach the fourth round for the eighth consecutive season and enter the contest unbeaten across their opening five matches. Tottenham have already played once in this competition, defeating Charlton Athletic 5-1 at home, but their Premier League campaign has started without a victory or a goal. The recent head-to-head numbers favor the hosts, who have avoided defeat in their last five meetings with Spurs. However, both teams drew 0-0 on September 12, leaving them with attacking questions to answer before this cup fixture.
Liverpool have recorded two wins and three draws across their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their latest result was a goalless home draw against Fulham. That performance was described as below their best, but it extended an unbeaten start to the season that also includes three draws from four Premier League fixtures.
The Reds' only Premier League victory so far came away to Ipswich Town, while their matches against Newcastle, Nottingham Forest and Fulham finished level. Their other success was a 2-1 home victory over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. Participation in European competition gave Liverpool a bye into this stage of the Carabao Cup, so this will be their first match in the tournament this season.
Home form provides an important source of confidence. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six competitive matches at Anfield, with their most recent home defeat coming against PSG. Their first-half record at the ground is also notable: they have not been behind at the interval in 19 of their last 20 home matches and have led at half-time in 12 of those 20 fixtures.
Changes are expected after the Fulham draw, but the available information indicates that Liverpool retain strong options. Gakpo and McAllister were substitutes in the weekend fixture and are likely to start against Tottenham. Trey Nyoni and Lewis Koumas are also expected to feature from the beginning, while Wataru Endo could make his first appearance of the season.
Tottenham Hotspur travel to Anfield after a 0-0 draw with Everton on September 12. Their last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. The visitors remain without a Premier League victory after four games, collecting two points and failing to score in each of those league fixtures.
The clear exception came in the previous round of the Carabao Cup. Tottenham beat Charlton Athletic 5-1 at home, giving them tournament figures of one win, five goals scored and one conceded. That result demonstrated a much sharper attacking return than their league performances, although their two most recent matches have both ended without a goal being scored by either side.
First-half away results are another concern for Spurs. They have been behind at the interval in six of their last ten away matches. That trend contrasts sharply with Liverpool's strong record before half-time at Anfield and could become significant if the home side establish pressure early in the contest.
Domininc Solanke played against Everton but did not score. Andy Robertson, who left Liverpool at the end of last season, is likely to represent Tottenham on his return to Anfield. Tonali and Fernandes are expected to be in the starting line-up, while Pedro Porro is again expected to miss out because of a muscle problem.
The recent meetings between these teams strengthen Liverpool's case. The latest head-to-head ended 1-1 on March 15, 2026, but the broader five-match summary gives the Reds three wins, two draws and no defeats. Across that sequence, Liverpool averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Tottenham have also conceded 18 goals across their last five trips to Anfield, including a defeat in this competition in February 2025.
The contrasting first-half records may shape the match. Liverpool have repeatedly avoided going into the interval behind at home, whereas Tottenham have often trailed at half-time on their travels. The hosts may rotate after their recent league fixture, but several players who did not start against Fulham are expected to come into the side. That should allow Liverpool to refresh the team without moving away from the depth that has helped them remain unbeaten this season.
Tottenham's 5-1 cup victory shows that their attacking potential cannot be dismissed. Nevertheless, their failure to score in four Premier League games, followed by another goalless result against Everton, creates uncertainty about their ability to reproduce that cup performance away from home. Liverpool have also lacked consistency in front of goal, with three draws from four league matches and a 0-0 result in their latest outing, so the hosts may need patience.
The supplied win probabilities give Liverpool a 55% chance, compared with 21% for a draw and 24% for Tottenham. Home advantage, Liverpool's unbeaten opening to the season and their favorable head-to-head record provide the clearest foundation for the match outlook. Tottenham's previous-round victory offers a warning, but their current scoring difficulties and recent record at Anfield make the hosts the more strongly supported side.
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction from BetMines: Liverpool win (1) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1