The final round of the Scottish Premiership relegation group brings together two sides whose seasons have followed very different paths. Livingston, already relegated, will host Kilmarnock in a match that closes a difficult campaign for the home side. For Livingston, this fixture represents a farewell to the top flight after a season filled with frustration and missed opportunities. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, arrive safe from relegation and in good form, looking to finish their season on a positive note. Despite the contrasting moods, both teams will want to end the campaign with pride and momentum.

Livingston’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Livingston have endured a tough season, collecting only two wins from 37 league matches, alongside 15 draws and 20 defeats. Their average of 1.1 goals scored per game and 1.9 conceded highlights the struggles that have defined their campaign. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 0-0 draw against Dundee United on May 12, a result that extended their winless streak to three matches. Despite their relegation, Livingston have shown resilience in recent weeks, managing to draw each of their last four home games.

However, the statistics underline their difficulties at home. Livingston have not won in their last 18 home matches, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 19. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in the last 12 home fixtures, suggesting that while they often find the net, defensive lapses remain a recurring issue. Their inability to secure early leads has also been notable — they have failed to win at half time in 26 of their last 28 matches. The Lions’ last home encounter with Kilmarnock ended in a 1-1 draw, a result that could easily repeat itself given the current form of both sides.

• Season record: 2 wins, 15 draws, 20 losses


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.9 per match


• Winless in last 18 home games


• Over 1.5 goals in last 12 home matches

Kilmarnock’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Kilmarnock approach this match in far better shape, having secured their Premiership status with a strong run of results. Their 3-1 victory over Dundee on May 12 marked their third consecutive win, continuing a late-season surge that has seen them lose only once in their last six games. Over that period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match, a clear sign of improved balance between attack and defense.

Earlier in the season, Kilmarnock endured a long winless streak of 14 matches, but their recent turnaround has been impressive. They now sit comfortably above the relegation play-off zone, four points clear. Away from home, however, inconsistency has been an issue — they have lost at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures. Historically, Kilmarnock have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and drawing the other two. Their most recent head-to-head encounter ended 2-0 in their favor on March 21, underlining their ability to exploit Livingston’s defensive weaknesses.

• Season record: 9 wins, 10 draws, 18 losses


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.8 per match


• Three consecutive wins before this match


• Head-to-head record vs Livingston: 3 wins, 2 draws in last 5 meetings

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams whose motivations differ but whose recent results suggest a competitive encounter. Livingston will want to end their Premiership stay with a positive result in front of their supporters, while Kilmarnock will aim to maintain their winning momentum. The home side’s inability to secure victories, especially at home, contrasts with Kilmarnock’s recent confidence and attacking efficiency. However, Livingston’s tendency to draw matches — 15 in total this season — cannot be ignored.

Both teams have shown a pattern of matches featuring goals at both ends. Livingston’s defensive fragility and Kilmarnock’s attacking form point toward another open contest. Yet, given the historical balance between these sides and the home team’s recent string of draws, a stalemate remains a realistic outcome. The statistical probabilities also reflect this balance, with win chances distributed at 39% for Livingston, 33% for Kilmarnock, and 27% for a draw. With both teams likely to find the net, the match could once again end level, possibly with goals on both sides.

Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 27% probability.