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Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 3:05 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 3:05 PM
The Scottish Premiership continues with a crucial Round 24 clash between Livingston and Motherwell. The two sides are at opposite ends of the table, with Livingston struggling to escape the bottom and Motherwell pushing hard to stay within reach of the top three. The hosts are desperate to end a long winless streak, while the visitors arrive in excellent form and full of confidence after a dominant recent run. This fixture could prove decisive for both teams’ ambitions as the season enters its decisive phase.
It has been a season to forget for Livingston. The Lions sit in 12th place in the Premiership standings, having collected just one win, eight draws, and fourteen defeats so far. Their defensive record is particularly concerning, with an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match and at least one goal allowed in each of their last 19 games. The team’s last victory dates back to August, meaning they have now gone 23 matches without a win in all competitions.
Recent results underline their ongoing struggles. In their last five outings, Livingston have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of one goal per game while conceding twice as many. Their most recent match ended in a heavy 6-2 loss to Aberdeen on January 24, a result that further exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. At home, the situation is not much better, as they have conceded in each of their last 13 home fixtures. Moreover, they have been trailing at half time in six of their last ten Premiership matches, a sign of their inability to start games strongly.
Despite these worrying numbers, Livingston will hope that playing in front of their supporters can inspire a reaction. However, facing one of the league’s most consistent sides in Motherwell, the challenge looks daunting. The Lions will need to show resilience and discipline if they are to avoid another defeat and finally end their long winless run.
Motherwell enter this match in outstanding form and currently occupy fourth place in the Premiership table. Their season record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and only 3 defeats highlights their consistency and balance. Defensively, they have been exceptional, conceding just 0.7 goals per game on average, while scoring 1.5 per match. The Well’s recent performances have been particularly impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, during which they have scored two goals per game and conceded only 0.2.
Their latest outing was a commanding 4-0 victory over Kilmarnock on January 24, a result that extended their unbeaten streak and reinforced their reputation as one of the toughest teams to break down. Motherwell have also shown remarkable consistency in the first halves of matches, having avoided defeat at half time in their last 14 Premiership games. Although their away form has been less dominant, they remain a well-organized and confident side capable of grinding out results on the road.
Statistically, Motherwell’s matches tend to be tight affairs. In 19 of their last 20 Premiership games, there have been under 10.5 corners, and several of their recent fixtures have featured low goal totals, with under 0.5 goals scored in three of their last ten league matches. This disciplined approach has been key to their success and could once again play a decisive role against a struggling Livingston side.
When comparing both teams’ trajectories, the contrast could not be sharper. Livingston’s defensive frailties and lack of confidence have left them anchored to the bottom of the table, while Motherwell’s solid structure and clinical finishing have propelled them into the upper tier of the Premiership. The head-to-head record further emphasizes this imbalance: in their last five meetings, Motherwell have won all five, scoring an average of three goals per game and conceding less than one. The most recent encounter ended 3-0 in favor of Motherwell on December 6, 2025.
Given these trends, it is difficult to see Livingston turning things around. Their inability to keep clean sheets and their struggles in front of goal make them vulnerable against a side that thrives on efficiency and defensive discipline. Motherwell, on the other hand, will look to capitalize on their momentum and extend their unbeaten run, knowing that another victory could bring them closer to the top three.
From a statistical perspective, the match is likely to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, as suggested by the 58% probability for the Under 2.5 market. Both teams to score appears less likely, with a 52% chance of “No.” However, the most probable outcome remains a Motherwell win, supported by their superior form, defensive solidity, and psychological edge over Livingston.
Livingston vs Motherwell prediction by BetMines:
Motherwell win (2) with 36% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Livingston
Motherwell
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3