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Prediction published on Jan 4, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Jan 4, 2026 8:02 PM
The Scottish Premiership continues on Tuesday evening with a crucial clash between Livingston and St. Mirren. Both sides are desperate for points as they look to climb away from the lower end of the table. Livingston currently sit bottom in 12th place, while St. Mirren are only slightly better off in 10th. With both teams struggling for consistency, this encounter promises to be a tense and potentially open affair.
Livingston enter this fixture in dire need of a turnaround. Their last outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat against Hearts on January 3, 2026, extending a long winless streak that now stands at 19 matches in all competitions. In the Premiership alone, they have gone 18 games without a victory, a run that has left them anchored to the bottom of the standings.
Despite their poor results, Livingston have shown resilience at times, often pushing stronger opponents to the limit. League leaders Hearts, Rangers, and Motherwell all required late goals to secure wins against them. However, the statistics paint a worrying picture: in their last five matches, Livingston have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, averaging just 1.0 goal scored and conceding 2.2 per game. Over the course of the season, they have managed only 1 win, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
Defensively, the team continues to struggle. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 Premiership matches and have also trailed at half time in their last three home games. The lack of clean sheets and the inability to hold leads have been major factors behind their current position. Still, playing at home could offer a glimmer of hope, as Livingston have often made visiting teams work hard for their points.
St. Mirren come into this match following a 2-0 defeat away to Motherwell on January 3, 2026. Their recent away form has been disappointing, with just one point collected from their last six league trips. The Buddies’ only away win this season came against Falkirk back in September, and they have since struggled to replicate that performance on the road.
In their last five matches, St. Mirren have shown mixed results with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Defensively, they have been vulnerable away from home, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 12 away fixtures. Furthermore, their matches on the road tend to be open, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 10 away games.
Despite these struggles, St. Mirren can take encouragement from their narrow 2-1 defeat at Rangers in their final game of 2025, a performance that showed they can compete with stronger sides. Facing the league’s bottom team could provide an opportunity to regain confidence and secure valuable points.
Recent meetings between Livingston and St. Mirren have been closely contested. In their last encounter on December 20, 2025, Livingston claimed a 1-0 victory, but overall, St. Mirren hold the upper hand in recent history with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five head-to-heads. Across those matches, Livingston have averaged just 0.4 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2.
Given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities and their tendency to concede regularly, this match could see chances at both ends. Livingston’s home struggles and St. Mirren’s poor away form suggest that neither side will dominate completely. The hosts will look to capitalize on their fighting spirit and home support, while the visitors will aim to exploit defensive lapses and end their away drought.
With both teams averaging around one goal per game and conceding frequently, the balance of play points toward an open contest where both sides are likely to find the net. The outcome may hinge on which team can maintain composure in front of goal and avoid costly defensive errors.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this fixture appears evenly matched. Livingston’s inability to keep clean sheets and St. Mirren’s consistent scoring in away games suggest that both teams could get on the scoresheet. The hosts will be desperate to end their long winless run, while the visitors will want to prove they can perform away from home.
Livingston vs St. Mirren prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Livingston
St. Mirren
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0