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Livorno
4 - 4
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Grosseto
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 6:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 6:34 PM
Livorno host Grosseto on Friday, October 16, in a Serie C: Girone B meeting between two sides near the top of the standings. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:30 local time at the Stadio Armando Picchi. Grosseto are third and Livorno fourth, with both teams bringing encouraging recent results into the fixture. Livorno drew their latest match, while Grosseto arrive after an away win. Their previous head-to-head meeting ended 0-0, but each side’s recent scoring figures give this encounter a different set of talking points.
Livorno drew 1-1 with Forlì on October 11, taking their record across the last five matches to two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over that spell. Their Serie C: Girone B season record stands at four wins, three draws and two losses, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. The recent five-game figures point to more goals at both ends than Livorno’s season averages, although the draw with Forlì left them without a win in their most recent outing.
One of Livorno’s clearest strengths in the supplied statistics is their home scoring record: they have found the net in 19 of their last 20 home matches. At least one goal has also been scored in the second half in 19 of those 20 home fixtures. That second-half figure concerns total match goals rather than Livorno goals alone, but it suggests that action after the interval has been a recurring feature of their home games. A separate Serie C: Girone B trend shows fewer than 9.5 corners in 18 of Livorno’s last 20 league matches.
For Livorno, the task is to turn those positive home scoring numbers into a result against a side one place above them. Their last five matches include only one defeat, yet the average of 1.4 goals conceded during that run gives Grosseto’s attack an opportunity to test them. Livorno’s ability to score at home is well documented by the recent record; keeping Grosseto from answering is a separate challenge.
Grosseto come into the match following a 3-2 win away to Vis Pesaro on October 10. They have won three of their last five games, alongside one draw and one defeat, while averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match in that period. Their league campaign so far comprises five wins, three draws and one loss. Across those Serie C: Girone B fixtures, Grosseto have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
The latest victory offered an example of both sides of Grosseto’s recent numbers: they scored three times but also conceded twice. Their five-match scoring average is higher than Livorno’s over the same span, while both teams have conceded an average of 1.4 goals in those respective runs. Grosseto have also been ahead at half-time in seven of their last 11 matches, including six of their last ten in Serie C: Girone B. Those figures make the opening period worth watching without guaranteeing that they will lead early again.
Grosseto’s results give them a strong platform for this away fixture, but their recent matches have not all followed the same scoring pattern. Seven of their last 31 Serie C: Girone B games finished without a goal, as did three of their last 15 away league matches. The 3-2 result at Vis Pesaro and their current five-game attacking average nevertheless underline the scoring form they bring to Livorno.
This Serie C: Girone B preview presents a close contest between fourth-placed Livorno and third-placed Grosseto. Livorno have lost just once in five matches and have scored in nearly all of their last 20 home games. Grosseto have taken three wins from their last five and arrive with the stronger scoring average over that stretch. Both, however, have conceded 1.4 goals per match across their respective last five fixtures, leaving room for either attack to make an impact.
The head-to-head record adds a note of caution. The most recent meeting ended 0-0 on January 26, 2025, while the supplied Livorno-versus-Grosseto summary lists two Livorno wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded by Livorno. That goalless latest meeting should not be overlooked, but it sits alongside current home-scoring and recent-form figures that support the possibility of chances for both sides. With neither team’s recent results pointing to a clear advantage, scoring at each end is a reasonable focus for the final assessment.
Livorno vs Grosseto prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Livorno
Grosseto
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3