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Prediction published on Nov 14, 2025 2:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Nov 14, 2025 2:03 PM
The upcoming Serie C Group B clash between Livorno and Ravenna promises to be a pivotal encounter for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. Scheduled for Sunday, November 16, at 14:30 at the Armando Picchi Stadium, the match pits a struggling home side desperate for points against the current league leaders riding a wave of confidence. Livorno are fighting to escape the relegation zone, while Ravenna are determined to consolidate their position at the top of the table and continue their impressive run of form.
It has been a turbulent season so far for Livorno. The Tuscan side sit 17th in the Serie C Group B standings, with just 3 wins, 1 draw, and 9 defeats from their opening 13 matches. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, with four losses in their last five games and an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match during that period. The most recent setback came in a 2-0 defeat to Athletic Carpi on November 9, a result that ultimately cost coach Formisano his job.
New manager Venturato now faces the daunting task of revitalizing a team that has struggled both defensively and offensively. Livorno have scored an average of just 0.6 goals per game this season, one of the lowest tallies in the division, while conceding 1.7 goals per match. The lack of cutting edge in attack has been a major issue, and the defensive frailties have compounded their problems. However, a managerial change often brings a short-term reaction, and the Amaranto faithful will be hoping for exactly that when Ravenna visit the Armando Picchi.
Another notable trend is that Under 10.5 corners have been recorded in each of Livorno’s last 15 matches, suggesting a cautious and low-tempo approach in their recent outings. The team will need to show more aggression and creativity if they are to trouble the league leaders.
Ravenna have been the revelation of the Serie C Group B campaign so far. Sitting proudly at the top of the table, the Romagnoli have collected 11 wins and just 2 defeats in their first 13 matches, with no draws recorded. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity have been the foundation of their success, averaging 1.9 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per game.
Their latest outing was a commanding 3-0 home victory over Sassari Torres on November 8, a result that further underlined their dominance. Over their last five matches, Ravenna have secured four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. This consistency has allowed them to maintain a narrow but crucial lead over their closest challengers, Arezzo and Ascoli.
Confidence within the squad is sky-high, and the team’s collective spirit has been a key factor in their rise. The players appear fully committed to the promotion cause, and their ability to manage games effectively—whether at home or away—has made them one of the most balanced sides in the division. Facing a Livorno side in turmoil, Ravenna will aim to capitalize on their opponent’s instability and extend their winning momentum.
This fixture brings together two teams at opposite ends of the confidence spectrum. Livorno are in a period of transition, hoping that the managerial change can inject some much-needed energy into their performances. Their main challenge will be to contain Ravenna’s fluid attacking play while trying to rediscover their own scoring touch. The home side’s defensive organization will be crucial, as conceding early could quickly deflate morale.
Ravenna, on the other hand, approach this match with the composure and assurance of a team that knows how to win. Their attacking unit has been clinical, and their defense has shown remarkable discipline. Even though playing away from home can be tricky, especially against a side eager to prove a point after a coaching change, the league leaders will be confident of maintaining their momentum. The psychological advantage clearly lies with the visitors, who have demonstrated both consistency and resilience throughout the campaign.
Historically, matches like this—between a struggling side and a title contender—often hinge on the first goal. If Ravenna manage to score early, they could control proceedings and force Livorno to chase the game, leaving spaces to exploit. Conversely, if Livorno can hold firm and frustrate their opponents, they might find opportunities on the counterattack. However, given the current form and statistical trends, the balance of probabilities tilts heavily in favor of the visitors.
The most likely outcome is a Ravenna win (2) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Livorno win (1) stands at 30%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Livorno
Ravenna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0