Tools
Prediction published on Nov 23, 2025 8:02 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Nov 23, 2025 8:02 AM
The fifteenth round of Serie C Group B concludes with two crucial fixtures, including the clash between Livorno and Sassari Torres. Both sides are in desperate need of points as they find themselves in the lower part of the standings. The match, scheduled for Monday, November 24 at 20:30 at the Armando Picchi Stadium, promises to be a tense and balanced affair, with both teams aware that another setback could further complicate their season.
Livorno currently sit in 17th place in Serie C Group B, having collected only 11 points from 14 matches. Their campaign has been marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility. The Tuscan side have managed just three wins, two draws, and nine defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Ravenna on November 16, a result that at least halted a run of defeats but did little to lift them from the relegation zone.
In their last five matches, Livorno have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging one goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The team’s main issue has been their inability to maintain defensive solidity, often conceding early and struggling to recover. On the attacking side, they have shown flashes of improvement but still lack a consistent finisher capable of turning chances into goals. Matches involving Livorno have also tended to be low on corner kicks, with under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 16 fixtures — a sign of limited offensive pressure.
Playing at home could, however, provide a psychological boost. The Armando Picchi Stadium remains a difficult ground for visiting teams, and Livorno will hope to capitalize on that advantage to secure a much-needed victory. Their supporters expect a reaction, especially after a disappointing start that has left them dangerously close to the relegation zone.
Sassari Torres arrive in Livorno in an equally precarious situation. The Sardinian side are currently 19th in the table with just nine points from 14 matches, ahead only of Rimini, who sit bottom due to a heavy points deduction. Their season has been characterized by a lack of goals and difficulty in turning draws into wins. So far, they have registered one victory, five draws, and eight defeats, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 1.3.
In their last five outings, Sassari Torres have failed to win, collecting two draws and three losses. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away to Perugia on November 15, a performance that showed some resilience but again highlighted their limited attacking threat. The team’s offensive struggles are evident: they have scored only twice in their last five matches, and their overall average of 0.2 goals per game in that period underlines the need for improvement in the final third.
Defensively, Sassari Torres have been slightly more compact than Livorno, but their inability to score has cost them valuable points. Matches involving the Sardinian side tend to be tight and low-scoring: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 league games, and under 0.5 goals in three of their last 14 away fixtures. These numbers suggest that their approach is cautious, prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk.
This encounter is shaping up to be a classic relegation battle, where tension and determination may outweigh technical quality. Both teams are struggling to find consistency, and the pressure to avoid defeat could lead to a cautious start. Livorno, playing at home, will likely take the initiative, while Sassari Torres may focus on maintaining defensive discipline and exploiting counterattacks.
Historically, matches between teams in such precarious positions often produce few goals, as neither side can afford to open up too much. The statistical trends reinforce this expectation: Livorno’s low scoring rate and Sassari Torres’ defensive approach point toward a tight contest. The outcome could hinge on individual moments — a set piece, a defensive lapse, or a moment of inspiration from a key player.
While bookmakers have found it difficult to identify a clear favorite, Livorno’s home advantage and slightly better recent form could give them a marginal edge. However, given the unpredictability of both sides, a draw or a narrow home win appear the most plausible outcomes. The match is likely to be decided by fine margins, with both teams fighting for every ball in what could be a scrappy but intense affair.
The most likely outcome is a Livorno win (1) with a 44% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Sassari Torres win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Livorno
Sassari Torres
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
10
0