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Llaneros
1 - 1
FT
Once Caldas
Prediction published on Mar 28, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Mar 28, 2026 3:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Llaneros FC and Once Caldas in the 14th round of the Colombian Apertura promises to be a tightly contested encounter with significant implications for the playoff race. Both sides are in the mix for qualification, and their recent performances suggest a balanced and competitive match, with attacking opportunities expected at both ends of the pitch.
Llaneros approach this fixture in a positive run of form, having lost only one of their last ten league matches. Their consistency has kept them competitive in the fight for the top eight, and their home record has been particularly solid — just one defeat all season in front of their fans. This resilience at home provides a strong foundation as they look to build momentum in the final stretch of the Apertura.
In their most recent outing, Llaneros drew 0-0 against América de Cali on March 26, a result that extended their unbeaten streak but also highlighted their occasional struggles in front of goal. Over their last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Across the season, their record stands at 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Historically, Llaneros have shown they can compete against Once Caldas, having beaten them 2-0 in their most recent head-to-head meeting in October 2025. That result, achieved on the same ground where this match will take place, could serve as a psychological boost for the home side.
Once Caldas come into this match sitting in third place in the Liga BetPlay standings, confirming their status as one of the most consistent teams in the competition. However, they will be looking to bounce back after a heavy 1-4 home defeat to Millonarios on March 21, a setback that interrupted an otherwise strong run of results.
In their last five matches, Once Caldas have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats reflects a team that combines attacking efficiency with a generally stable defense. Away from home, they have been particularly reliable, losing only once this season and securing victories in challenging venues such as Deportivo Cali and Cúcuta Deportivo.
Statistically, Once Caldas’s matches tend to feature goals but rarely turn into high-scoring affairs. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 16 away games, while they have managed to score in all of their last 15 league fixtures. Additionally, Over 1.5 total goals have been seen in their last 14 Liga BetPlay matches, underlining their attacking consistency. Another notable trend is that they have avoided trailing at halftime in 28 of their last 31 league games, a sign of their strong starts and tactical discipline.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Llaneros rely on defensive organization and home stability, while Once Caldas have built their success on attacking fluidity and the ability to find goals in almost every match. The home team’s compact structure could make it difficult for Once Caldas to dominate, but the visitors’ offensive rhythm suggests that both teams will create chances.
Given the statistical trends, a balanced game is expected, with Llaneros likely to focus on maintaining control and exploiting transitions, while Once Caldas will aim to impose their attacking tempo. The last head-to-head ended 2-0 in favor of Llaneros, but the current form of Once Caldas indicates that this time the visitors could pose a greater threat in front of goal.
From a betting perspective, the data points toward a match with limited scoring margins. The probabilities show 36% for a Llaneros win, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Once Caldas win. Meanwhile, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals stands at 36%, and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 45%, suggesting that while goals are possible, a high-scoring game is less likely.
BetMines prediction for Llaneros vs Once Caldas: Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%. The numbers indicate a cautious contest where both teams may find the net difficult to breach, especially considering Llaneros’ defensive consistency at home and the visitors’ tendency to stay within moderate goal totals in away fixtures.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Llaneros
Once Caldas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2