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Los Angeles FC
2:30 AM
September 10, 2026
New York RB
Prediction published on Sep 8, 2026 2:05 AM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Sep 8, 2026 2:05 AM
Los Angeles FC host New York RB at BMO Stadium on September 10, 2026, in the 25th round of the Major League Soccer season. This midweek fixture brings together two teams searching for a response after five consecutive matches without a victory. Los Angeles FC return home following a 2-2 draw with Real Salt Lake, while New York RB arrive after a goalless draw against Seattle Sounders. The hosts are third in the Major League Soccer ranking and have the stronger season record, whereas the visitors occupy tenth place. However, neither side has produced convincing recent form, with both averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game across their last five outings. Their previous meeting finished 2-2 on April 21, 2024, suggesting that this contest can remain competitive despite the difference in their overall results.
Los Angeles FC have recorded 10 wins, seven draws and seven defeats in Major League Soccer this season. Their campaign averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match demonstrate a solid overall balance, but their recent numbers have been considerably less productive. Across the last five matches, the home side have collected no wins, three draws and two defeats.
During that five-game sequence, Los Angeles FC have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The 2-2 result against Real Salt Lake on September 6 was therefore a notable attacking improvement compared with their broader recent output. It was also their fifth consecutive match without a victory, meaning the hosts enter this fixture under pressure to turn draws and narrow setbacks into a positive result.
The home side nevertheless have several statistical advantages. Their season record is stronger than that of New York RB, their average number of goals conceded is lower, and the supplied win probabilities give them a 57% chance of victory. Los Angeles FC also hold the better head-to-head summary, with two wins, one draw and one defeat against New York RB. In those meetings, they have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
New York RB travel to Los Angeles with seven wins, six draws and 10 defeats in Major League Soccer. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over the season, but their average of 2.0 goals conceded highlights the defensive problems that have accompanied their campaign. As with the hosts, their latest run has not contained a victory.
The visitors have registered two draws and three defeats in their last five matches. They have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that spell, leaving them with the same recent attacking average as Los Angeles FC but a weaker defensive figure. Their 0-0 draw against Seattle Sounders on September 6 ended without a goal, yet it did at least provide a clean sheet after a difficult sequence of results.
That shutout stands in contrast to New York RB's wider league trend. They have conceded at least once in 20 of their last 21 Major League Soccer matches. This pattern gives Los Angeles FC an opportunity to rediscover the attacking level represented by their season average, although the hosts' own recent scoring numbers make that far from automatic.
There is also a clear first-half trend attached to the visitors' away fixtures. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in 19 of New York RB's last 20 away matches in Major League Soccer. Even though both teams have recently struggled for attacking consistency, that sequence indicates that a breakthrough during the opening period has been common whenever New York RB have played away.
This Major League Soccer match preview presents a contrast between season-long performance and immediate form. Los Angeles FC have produced the stronger overall campaign and concede an average of only 1.0 goal per league match, but they have failed to win any of their last five games. New York RB are in the same winless situation and have lost three of their previous five, while their season average of 2.0 goals conceded raises questions about their ability to remain secure away from home.
The attacking picture is less straightforward. Both teams have scored only 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches, and New York RB's latest contest ended 0-0. Los Angeles FC, however, scored twice in their draw with Real Salt Lake, while the visitors have conceded in 20 of their last 21 league fixtures. These facts create a reasonable basis for home optimism without removing the uncertainty caused by Los Angeles FC's winless run.
The available probabilities place Los Angeles FC ahead: the hosts have a 57% win probability, compared with 23% for a draw and 20% for a New York RB victory. The 80% probability attached to Los Angeles FC or a draw also reflects the hosts' stronger season statistics and head-to-head record. Still, three draws in their last five matches show why New York RB cannot be dismissed from the contest.
Goals markets are closely balanced, with both teams to score rated at 53% and over 2.5 total goals at 54%. The previous head-to-head meeting produced a 2-2 draw, but the recent attacking averages point toward a more cautious interpretation of the upcoming game. The clearest statistical signal instead concerns the opening 45 minutes: 19 of New York RB's last 20 league away matches have contained at least one first-half goal. That trend can coexist with a controlled contest, as only a single breakthrough is required.
Los Angeles FC vs New York RB prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 86% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Los Angeles FC
New York RB
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1