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Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 05-11-2025

Los Chankas

1 - 2

FT

Alianza Lima

Estadio Los Chankas
D. Ureta
light rain °C

Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 2:02 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Nov 4, 2025 7:19 AM

The postponed fixture from Matchday 9 of the Peruvian Clausura brings an intriguing clash between Los Chankas and Alianza Lima at the Estadio Municipal Los Chankas. The hosts, known as the “Warriors of Andahuaylas,” have already secured their top-flight status for another season and now aim to finish the campaign on a high note. Meanwhile, the visitors from Lima are still chasing a direct qualification spot for the next Copa Libertadores, making this encounter crucial for their ambitions.


Los Chankas: Recent Form and Key Stats


Los Chankas approach this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five league games, including a narrow 1-0 victory over Ayacucho on November 1, 2025. That run has lifted them to 8th place in the Primera División standings, comfortably clear of the relegation zone. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.


Despite their recent success, defensive issues remain a concern for coach Jorge Antonio Vivaldo. The team has allowed 24 goals in 14 Clausura matches, a figure that highlights their vulnerability at the back. To make matters worse, they will be without their starting goalkeeper Franco Saravia, who is sidelined with a knee injury. However, their home form has been a major strength — Los Chankas have scored in each of their last 13 home matches in the league, turning their stadium into a difficult venue for visiting teams.


Offensively, the side has shown steady improvement, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded in their last five outings. Their ability to grind out results, even in tight matches, has been key to their mid-table stability. The fans in Andahuaylas will be hoping that their team can maintain this momentum against one of the league’s strongest sides.


Alianza Lima: Recent Form and Key Stats


Alianza Lima come into this fixture sitting 5th in the table, with a record of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses across the season. Under the guidance of Argentine coach Néstor Gorosito, the “Blanquiazules” have developed into one of the most potent attacking units in the Clausura, scoring 25 goals in 15 matches. Their recent form has been solid, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five games, including a 2-2 draw against Melgar on November 1, 2025.


While their attacking prowess is undeniable, Alianza Lima’s defensive record shows some inconsistencies, averaging 1.4 goals conceded per match over their last five fixtures. Nevertheless, their overall defensive numbers remain among the best in the league, with only 0.9 goals conceded per game across the season. Away from home, they have been disciplined and pragmatic — Under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 away matches in the Primera División, a sign of their controlled approach on the road.


Gorosito’s men will be eager to bounce back from their recent draw and secure a crucial victory that could bring them closer to continental qualification. Their attacking depth and experience could prove decisive against a Los Chankas side that tends to leave spaces at the back when pushing forward.


Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: Tactical Overview and Prediction


This matchup presents an interesting contrast in styles. Los Chankas have built their recent success on determination and home strength, while Alianza Lima rely on technical superiority and attacking efficiency. The hosts will likely look to press early and use their home crowd’s energy to unsettle the visitors, but their defensive fragility could be exposed by Alianza’s quick transitions and clinical finishing.


Historically, this fixture has favored the Lima giants. In their last three head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima have won all three, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game while keeping Los Chankas scoreless. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in April 2025, showing that these matches are often tight and low-scoring affairs.


Given the current form, Los Chankas’ strong home record could make this a competitive contest, but Alianza Lima’s superior attacking quality and motivation to secure Copa Libertadores qualification might give them the edge. Expect a balanced game with moments of intensity, especially in the second half, as both sides push for a decisive goal.


BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is a Los Chankas win (1) with a 41% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while an Alianza Lima win (2) stands at 31%.

Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima - Predictions

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Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Los Chankas

Alianza Lima

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Los Chankas and Alianza Lima in Primera Division

Who will win ?

Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima be played?
The Primera Division match between Los Chankas and Alianza Lima will be played on November 5, 2025 at 20:15.
Where will Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima be played?
The match between Los Chankas and Alianza Lima will be played at Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas - Peru
Who will referee Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
The referee for the match will be D. Ureta.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima in the Primera Division?
The odds are: Los Chankas to win 3.20, draw 3.25, Alianza Lima to win 2.20.
What are the betting odds for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.05 and Under 2.5 at 1.75.
Will both Los Chankas and Alianza Lima score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.90.
What are the head-to-head results between Los Chankas and Alianza Lima?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Los Chankas and Alianza Lima, Los Chankas won 0 times, Alianza Lima won 3, and 0 ended in a draw.

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