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Prediction published on Sep 23, 2025 6:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 23, 2025 8:31 PM
The Europa League group stage continues on Thursday with an intriguing clash between LOSC Lille and SK Brann at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. This will be the first-ever competitive meeting between the French and Norwegian sides, and both arrive in decent form, making this a fascinating contest for fans and bettors alike. Lille, who narrowly missed out on Champions League qualification, are eager to make a strong impression in Europe’s secondary competition, while Brann return to the Europa League main draw for the first time since 2007-08, carrying momentum from a strong domestic run.
Lille enter this fixture after a disappointing 3-0 defeat away to Lens on September 20, their first loss of the season. Despite that setback, their overall form remains solid, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. At home, they have been particularly reliable, unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, with five of those ending in victory. The Stade Pierre-Mauroy has been a fortress, where Lille have scored in each of their last 20 home games, and they have not trailed at halftime in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures.
Another notable trend is Lille’s consistency in finding the net: they have scored at least once in their last 28 matches overall, and in their last 20 home games. Furthermore, over 0.5 goals in the second half has been recorded in each of their last 10 matches, highlighting their ability to keep pushing until the final whistle. Ranked 8th in the Europa League standings, Lille are considered one of the stronger sides in this phase of the competition and will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage to start their campaign with three points.
Brann arrive in France in excellent form, having extended their unbeaten streak to six matches with a commanding 3-0 win over Sandefjord on September 20. Their last five outings have produced 4 wins and 1 draw, with an impressive average of 2.8 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been a hallmark of their recent performances, and they will be eager to carry that momentum into European competition.
On the road, Brann have also been consistent scorers, with over 0.5 goals in each of their last 21 away matches and over 1.5 goals in their last 19 away fixtures. They have also managed to score in the first half in 19 of their last 21 away games, showing their ability to start matches strongly. Ranked 36th in the Europa League standings, Brann may be considered underdogs against Lille, but their current form suggests they should not be underestimated. Their return to the Europa League group stage after nearly two decades is already a significant achievement, and they will be motivated to make a statement against one of Ligue 1’s stronger sides.
This matchup promises to be an entertaining one, with both teams showing strong attacking numbers in recent weeks. Lille’s home dominance and ability to consistently score make them favorites, but Brann’s excellent form and attacking efficiency mean they are capable of causing problems. Given both sides’ recent scoring trends, goals are expected in this clash. Lille will look to bounce back from their defeat to Lens, while Brann will aim to extend their unbeaten run and prove they can compete at this level.
Statistically, Lille have the edge in terms of squad depth and European experience, but Brann’s momentum and attacking form suggest they will not go down easily. Fans can expect a lively contest with chances at both ends, and the probability data points towards a goal-filled encounter.
Lille vs Brann prediction by BetMines:
The statistical analysis highlights the Home Win (1) as the most likely outcome with a 44% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while an Away Win (2) is estimated at 30%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
LOSC Lille
Brann
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2