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Prediction published on Nov 25, 2025 7:11 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 25, 2025 7:11 PM
The Europa League returns this Thursday evening with an intriguing clash between LOSC Lille and Dinamo Zagreb at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The French side currently sit 19th in the League Phase standings, while the Croatian champions occupy 12th place after four rounds. Both teams are looking to strengthen their positions in the group as the competition heads into its decisive stage. Lille will rely on their strong home form to bounce back, while Dinamo Zagreb aim to build on their recent domestic momentum.
Lille began their Europa League campaign brightly, winning their first two matches, but subsequent defeats on Matchdays 3 and 4 have seen them slide down the table. Before the international break, Les Dogues endured a difficult spell, losing three of their last four matches in all competitions and struggling to find the net. However, they returned to action with renewed energy, defeating Paris FC 4-2 at the weekend — a result that extended their home winning streak to three matches in all competitions.
That victory also highlighted Lille’s attacking potential at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, where they have scored 14 goals in their last four home fixtures. Despite their inconsistent overall form — two wins and three defeats in their last five games — the French side remain a dangerous opponent on home soil. They have scored at least once in 20 of their last 21 home matches, and both teams have found the net in the second half in 11 of their last 18 home fixtures. These numbers underline Lille’s tendency to produce open, entertaining games in front of their fans.
Defensively, however, there is room for improvement. Lille have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, and maintaining concentration at the back will be crucial if they are to keep their European hopes alive. With home advantage and a passionate crowd behind them, Paulo Fonseca’s men will look to rediscover the balance that characterized their early-season performances.
Dinamo Zagreb have enjoyed a solid Europa League campaign so far, collecting two wins and a draw before suffering their first defeat on Matchday 4 — a heavy 3-0 loss at home to Celta Vigo. That setback briefly halted their momentum, but the Croatian champions have responded well since the international break, securing back-to-back domestic victories, including a 3-1 win over Varaždin on November 22. Across their last five matches, Dinamo have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an impressive average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4.
Despite their attacking prowess, Dinamo’s away form remains a concern. They have managed just one win in their last five away fixtures (D1 L3), and that solitary victory came against second-tier opposition. Nevertheless, their matches tend to be lively affairs: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 games, and over 0.5 goals have been recorded at half time in 21 of their last 23 fixtures. In the Europa League specifically, they have seen goals before the break in 20 of their last 22 matches, suggesting that early action could be on the cards once again.
Dinamo’s attacking rhythm often depends on their ability to control the midfield and exploit spaces on the counterattack. However, their defensive record away from home in Europe has been inconsistent, with six first-half defeats in their last ten away Europa League matches. To get a result in Lille, the visitors will need to tighten up at the back while maintaining their offensive efficiency.
This encounter promises to be an exciting and balanced contest between two sides that favor attacking football but have shown defensive vulnerabilities. Lille will look to capitalize on their strong home form and the creativity of their attacking players, while Dinamo Zagreb will rely on their recent scoring streak to trouble the French defense. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, and their respective statistics suggest that goals are likely at both ends.
Given Lille’s tendency to score at home and Dinamo’s consistent attacking output, this fixture could produce an open and entertaining battle. The French side’s home advantage might give them a slight edge, but the Croatian champions’ offensive form ensures they remain a serious threat. Expect a dynamic match where both sides create chances and the outcome could hinge on defensive discipline.
Lille vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
LOSC Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4