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LOSC Lille vs Le Havre Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 1 10-10-2026

LOSC Lille

1 - 0

FT

Le Havre

Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Bastien Dechepy
few clouds 13.59 °C

Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 3:34 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 3:34 PM

LOSC Lille host Le Havre at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on October 10, 2026, in a Ligue 1 fixture scheduled for 15:15 local time. The teams arrive with contrasting league records after five matches: Lille are fourth with three wins, one draw and one defeat, while Le Havre are 18th and still looking for their first league victory. Both won their most recent matches on October 2, but their Ligue 1 form gives this meeting a different complexion. Lille will be aiming to build on a solid start to the campaign; Le Havre need a result to improve on their return of two points.

LOSC Lille's Recent Form and Key Stats

LOSC Lille won three of their first four Ligue 1 matches, beating Angers 2-0, Toulouse 1-0 and Troyes 2-0. That unbeaten league run ended with a 2-1 defeat away to Nice. Their record after five league games stands at three wins, one draw and one loss, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Lille also beat Zulte-Waregem 2-1 on October 2. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have three victories and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

There are useful home and first-half trends to consider ahead of this Lille vs Le Havre match preview. Lille have led at half-time in each of their last three home matches. At the same time, fewer than 1.5 total first-half goals were scored in 18 of their last 20 Ligue 1 games. Those figures show that an early Lille lead and a relatively low-scoring opening period have both been recurring patterns, without guaranteeing either outcome here.

Davide Ancelotti's side will be without Ethan Mbappé and Hamza Igamane, while Tanguy Nianzou is available but his involvement remains uncertain. Berke Özer has made a positive start in goal, with Alexsandro and Nathan Ngoy forming the central defensive partnership described in the match information. Further forward, Dilane Bakwa has one goal and one assist in Ligue 1, and Ayase Ueda has scored three times across all competitions. Lille will also have a Champions League trip to Arsenal after this fixture, giving them another reason to seek a positive result.

Le Havre's Recent Form and Key Stats

Le Havre remain winless in Ligue 1 after five rounds. Their league record of two draws and three defeats leaves them with two points and in 18th place. Didier Digard's team lost 3-2 away to Toulouse in their previous league outing. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per Ligue 1 match, having found the net four times in five games. Scoring often enough to change that record is a clear challenge as they visit a Lille side that has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per league fixture.

Le Havre do, however, travel after a 6-1 win over Boulogne on October 2. Their last-five-match record across all competitions is one win, two draws and two losses, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. That recent scoring average is higher than their Ligue 1 figure, so the Boulogne result should be weighed alongside their continuing wait for a league win rather than treated as a complete change in form.

Le Havre have confirmed absences in Lionel Mpasi, Stephan Zagadou and Felix Mambimbi; Timothée Pembélé is uncertain. Gauthier Gallon has taken over in goal in Mpasi's absence. Ayumu Seko is an important figure in defence, while Ally Samatta has scored two of Le Havre's four Ligue 1 goals this season. His contribution has accounted for half of their league total, underlining how valuable another goal from him would be in this fixture.

LOSC Lille vs Le Havre Match Analysis

The Ligue 1 records provide the clearest contrast. Lille have taken three victories from five matches and conceded an average of less than one goal per game; Le Havre have yet to win and have scored only four league goals. Lille's three recent home half-time leads add to their case, although Le Havre's six-goal outing against Boulogne means their latest result cannot be overlooked. The visitors' main task is to carry some of that scoring into a competition where goals have been harder to find.

The previous meeting ended 1-1 on May 3, 2026, a reminder that their league positions do not settle the result in advance. Across the supplied head-to-head record, Lille have three wins, one draw and one defeat against Le Havre, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Taken together with this season's results, those figures make Lille the stronger side on the available evidence, while the most recent draw offers Le Havre a result to draw encouragement from. For this Ligue 1 match, Lille's steadier league performances and Le Havre's search for a first win are the central factors.

LOSC Lille vs Le Havre prediction from BetMines: LOSC Lille win (1) with 55% probability.

LOSC Lille vs Le Havre - Predictions

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LOSC Lille vs Le Havre: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

LOSC Lille

Le Havre

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of LOSC Lille and Le Havre in Ligue 1

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

LOSC Lille

8

4

3

1

11:6

15

1.88

W
L
W
D
D
18

Le Havre

8

0

2

6

8:15

2

0.25

D
L
L
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

LOSC Lille vs Le Havre: Frequently asked questions

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When will LOSC Lille vs Le Havre be played?
The Ligue 1 match between LOSC Lille and Le Havre will be played on October 10, 2026 at 15:15.
Where will LOSC Lille vs Le Havre be played?
The match between LOSC Lille and Le Havre will be played at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq - France
Who will referee LOSC Lille vs Le Havre?
The referee for the match will be Bastien Dechepy.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for LOSC Lille vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1?
The odds are: LOSC Lille to win 1.55, draw 4.33, Le Havre to win 5.50.
What are the betting odds for LOSC Lille vs Le Havre for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 1?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.61 and Under 2.5 at 2.30.
Will both LOSC Lille and Le Havre score in the Ligue 1?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for LOSC Lille vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between LOSC Lille and Le Havre?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between LOSC Lille and Le Havre, LOSC Lille won 3 times, Le Havre won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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