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Ludogorets
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Dinamo Minsk
Prediction published on Jul 7, 2025 4:54 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Jul 8, 2025 7:01 PM
On Wednesday, July 9, the Huvepharma Arena will host the first leg of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League First Qualifying Round between Ludogorets and Dinamo Minsk. The home side, undisputed rulers of Bulgarian football since their top-flight debut in the 2010/11 season, have built an impressive trophy cabinet with 14 consecutive league titles, alongside several Bulgarian Cups and Super Cups. However, their domestic dominance hasn't fully translated into European success: their last appearance in the Champions League group stage was back in 2016/17, with subsequent European campaigns spent in the Europa League and Conference League. This wealth of international experience, though, could prove decisive in the two-legged clash with the Belarusians. Dinamo Minsk, for their part, have regained competitiveness in recent years, reclaiming the Belarusian Premier League title in both 2023 and 2024 after an 18-year drought. However, this season has been more challenging: halfway through the league campaign, they sit in fourth place, ten points adrift of leaders ML Vitebsk. Skripchenko’s side now faces a major test on the European stage, needing a solid performance in Razgrad to keep their qualification hopes alive for the return leg. The dream is to bring the Belarusian club back to Europe’s premier competition more than 30 years after their last appearance in 1993/94. This promises to be a truly international contest between a seasoned European side like Ludogorets and a determined Dinamo Minsk looking to write a new chapter in their history.
Ludogorets come into the new season after once again dominating Bulgarian football. Rui Mota’s team secured their 14th consecutive league title, adding to their haul with a fourth Bulgarian Cup and an eighth Super Cup. Despite this domestic supremacy, their recent summer friendlies have raised some concerns: in four pre-season matches, the Eagles recorded two draws and two defeats, scoring only 3 goals while conceding 6.
However, their home form remains a strong point. At the Huvepharma Arena, Ludogorets are unbeaten in their last 12 matches. Their last home defeat dates back to January 23, when Midtjylland won 2-0 in the group stage of the 2024/25 UEFA Europa League. In the previous domestic season, Ludogorets boasted 14 wins and 4 draws in 18 home games—clear evidence of how crucial home advantage is for the Bulgarian champions.
Dinamo Minsk approach this European fixture in the midst of their domestic campaign. After clinching back-to-back Belarusian league titles in 2023 and 2024, Skripchenko’s side currently sit fourth in the 2025 Vysshaya Liga with 29 points from 15 matches, the result of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, 10 points behind leaders ML Vitebsk.
Their current form is far from convincing. Dinamo have lost three of their last four league games, highlighting both tactical struggles and poor results. Their away form is particularly problematic: in seven league matches on the road, they’ve managed just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with only 5 goals scored and 9 conceded.
The Ludogorets vs Dinamo Minsk prediction from BetMines' algorithm forecasts a tight match, though the home side are clear favorites to claim the first-leg victory.
Ludogorets enjoy superior international experience, a deeper squad, and the added advantage of playing in a stadium where they remained unbeaten throughout the last domestic campaign. The prediction strongly leans toward a home win (1), with Rui Mota’s men expected to make a decisive step toward qualification in this opening leg.
As for the expected goals, the algorithm suggests a match with under 3.5 total goals, due to Ludogorets’ strong defensive displays at home (only 6 goals conceded in 18 league matches).
Given Dinamo Minsk’s struggles in attack on the road—only 5 goals in their first 7 away games this season—it wouldn’t be surprising to see Ludogorets keep a clean sheet and build a strong foundation for the return leg.
LUDOGORETS (4-2-3-1): Padt; Son, Dinis Almeida, Kurtulus, Nedyalkov; Piotrowski, Kaloc; Erick Marcus, Aguibou Camara, Caio Vidal; Tekpetey. Coach: Rui Mota
DINAMO MINSK (4-3-3): Shpakovskiy; Pigas, Kalinin, Apetenok, Gavrilovich; Vakulich, Myakish, Begunov; Djimet, Bakic, Vardanyan. Coach: Vadim Skripchenko
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ludogorets
Dinamo Minsk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
7
3
3
7
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2