The Europa League knockout play-off round brings together Ludogorets Razgrad and Ferencvárosi Budapest for the fourth time this season. The first leg takes place in Bulgaria, where the home side will be eager to finally claim a victory over their Hungarian rivals. With both teams having already crossed paths in the Champions League and Europa League earlier in the campaign, this encounter promises to be another intense chapter in their growing rivalry. The winner of this two-legged tie will advance to face either Porto or Braga in the round of 16, adding extra motivation for both sides to start strong.

Ludogorets Razgrad’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Ludogorets enter this match in solid form, having won four of their last five games across all competitions, including a 2-1 victory over Beroe on February 15, 2026. Their recent performances show consistency, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. In the Europa League, the Bulgarian champions have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite some defensive lapses earlier in the season, their home record remains strong, with three wins from their last four European fixtures at the Huvepharma Arena.

Historically, Ludogorets have struggled against Ferencvárosi, failing to win in their previous three meetings this season. However, they have shown resilience at home, losing only once in their last eight European matches in Bulgaria. Their attacking play has been lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the first half of each of their last 12 home Europa League matches. The team also tends to start well, having led at halftime in 8 of their last 13 games. With key forward Petar Stanic in fine form—scoring in each of their last three home Europa League fixtures—the hosts will look to capitalize on their attacking momentum.

Ferencvárosi Budapest’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Ferencvárosi arrive in Razgrad after a mixed run of results. They recently suffered a 3-1 defeat to Zalaegerszegi TE on February 14, 2026, but overall, their last five matches show promise with three wins and two losses. The Hungarian side averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, reflecting their attacking intent but also some defensive vulnerabilities. In the Europa League, they have been more consistent, posting 4 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Ferencvárosi’s offensive strength is evident—they have scored in 32 of their last 34 matches and have not trailed at halftime in 18 of their last 20. Away from home, they tend to finish strongly, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 10 away Europa League games. Their ability to find the net in almost every match makes them a dangerous opponent, especially against a Ludogorets side that has occasionally struggled to keep clean sheets in Europe. However, injuries to key players such as Stefan Gartenmann and Jonathan Levi could limit their defensive options in this crucial first leg.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

This will be the fourth meeting between Ludogorets and Ferencvárosi this season. The Hungarian side has had the upper hand so far, winning twice and drawing once. Their last encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Ferencvárosi on November 6, 2025. Across all meetings, Ludogorets have averaged just 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.4. The Bulgarian side will therefore be determined to tighten their defense and make home advantage count.

Both teams have shown a tendency toward open, attacking football. Ludogorets’ recent home matches in Europe have produced plenty of goals—12 in their last three—while Ferencvárosi’s last three away fixtures have seen nine goals in total. Given these trends, another high-scoring contest seems likely. The hosts will rely on their quick transitions and set-piece efficiency, while the visitors will look to exploit spaces on the counterattack. With both sides boasting strong offensive records, the first leg could be decided by which defense holds firm under pressure.

BetMines Prediction and Betting Insight

Considering the attacking form of both teams and their recent head-to-head history, the data points toward another goal-filled encounter. Over 2.5 goals has been a recurring outcome in their recent meetings, and both sides have shown consistent scoring patterns in Europe this season. According to BetMines’ algorithm, the most likely outcome for this match is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% probability. The odds also reflect a balanced contest, with win probabilities of 44% for Ludogorets, 25% for a draw, and 31% for Ferencvárosi.

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvárosi Budapest prediction by BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.