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Lusitania FC Lourosa
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Chaves
Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 10:04 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 10:04 AM
Lusitania FC Lourosa host Chaves on October 11 at 10:00 local time in a Liga Portugal 2 meeting between the teams currently ranked first and 16th. The match takes place at the Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC. Six league games into the season, Lourosa have five wins and one draw, leaving them as the competition’s only unbeaten side. They have 16 points, three more than Penafiel, and a point against Chaves would preserve their lead. The visitors arrive after a 4-0 defeat to Farense and have won just once in six league matches. Those contrasting starts make this a significant test for both sides: Lourosa are seeking to extend their unbeaten run, while Chaves need a response to their latest setback.
Lusitania FC Lourosa have made an impressive start under Ricardo Silva. Their Liga Portugal 2 record stands at five wins, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. That combination of results and defensive consistency has put them at the top of the standings ahead of this seventh-round fixture.
The home side’s broader recent form follows the same pattern. Across their last five matches, Lourosa have recorded four wins and a draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.0. They also beat Madalena 3-1 on September 20. The recent scoring average is higher than their league-season figure, but both sets of numbers underline how regularly they have found a way to get results.
Lourosa have also been ahead early in a substantial share of their recent games. They led at half-time in seven of their last 11 matches across all competitions and in six of their last 10 Liga Portugal 2 matches. Those figures do not guarantee another quick start, but they give Chaves a clear reason to be wary from the opening stages. For Silva’s side, the immediate task is to carry their strong form into another league game without losing the unbeaten record that has defined their campaign so far.
Chaves enter this match in 16th place after a difficult opening six rounds. Their league record of one win, one draw and four defeats contrasts sharply with Lourosa’s, while their season averages stand at 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. The 4-0 loss to Farense on October 4 added to the pressure on Vítor Martins and his team ahead of a visit to the league leaders.
Their last five matches offer a more mixed picture than the league-season record alone: Chaves have won twice, drawn once and lost twice over that span. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game in those five fixtures, though they have also conceded 2.0. Recent additions are still being integrated into the side, but the Farense result showed that an improvement cannot be assumed before this demanding fixture.
Chaves’ away results have tended to produce a winner. They have not drawn any of their last 21 away matches, including their last 19 away fixtures in Liga Portugal 2. Their games have also consistently featured a second-half goal: at least one goal has been scored after the break in each of their last 21 matches and in each of their last 20 league matches. The same pattern applies to their last 11 away games, including their last 10 league trips. These are match-goal figures, not goals scored by Chaves alone, but they highlight how often their fixtures remain eventful after half-time.
The current league records give Lourosa the clearer form argument. They are unbeaten, concede an average of fewer than one goal per league game and have collected five wins from six attempts. Chaves, by contrast, have lost four of their six league fixtures and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The difference is especially relevant after the visitors’ four-goal defeat at Farense, although their two wins in their last five matches show that their recent results have not been uniformly negative.
The head-to-head record provides a useful counterweight to the current standings. Lourosa have no wins, two draws and one defeat in the supplied meetings with Chaves, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The most recent encounter finished 2-2 on January 24, 2026. Chaves have therefore avoided defeat in those three meetings, even if their present league form makes this visit a different challenge.
There are competing trends to weigh up in this Liga Portugal 2 preview. Lourosa’s frequent half-time leads support the case for a strong start from the hosts, while Chaves’ long sequence of matches with second-half goals suggests the contest need not be settled early. The visitors’ lack of away draws is striking, but it does not by itself indicate which team would win. On balance, Lourosa’s unbeaten start, stronger scoring and conceding figures, and current position at the top of the league give them the more convincing case heading into the match.
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Chaves prediction from BetMines: Lusitania FC Lourosa win (1) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lusitania FC Lourosa
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2