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Prediction published on Nov 21, 2025 6:03 PM by Dario in Ecuador - Liga Pro | Modified on Nov 21, 2025 6:03 PM
Macará and Delfín face off at the Estadio Bellavista in a crucial sixth-round fixture of the Liga Pro Ecuador, with the home side aiming to secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana. The Ambato Idol arrive in excellent form, sitting at the top of the table with 50 points, just one ahead of Aucas, Deportivo Cuenca, and Emelec. Their recent victories — 3-0 and 2-0 against those same rivals — have strengthened their leadership and boosted confidence ahead of this decisive encounter. Playing at home, Macará know that any slip-up could cost them dearly in the race for continental qualification.
Macará have been one of the most consistent sides in the competition. Their last five matches have produced four wins and one defeat, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. The team’s attacking efficiency has been complemented by a solid defensive structure that has kept them competitive throughout the season. In Liga Pro, their overall record stands at 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
At home, Macará have turned the Bellavista into a fortress. Their recent 2-0 away win over Deportivo Cuenca on November 8 confirmed their strong momentum, while the team has seen Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 11 league games. This attacking consistency, combined with the passionate support of their fans, makes them a formidable opponent on home soil. The players are fully aware that maintaining this rhythm could be the key to securing their continental ambitions.
On the other hand, Delfín arrive in Ambato in a completely different situation. The ‘Cetáceo’ sit at the bottom of the standings with 35 points and are already out of contention for international qualification. Their recent performances have been disappointing, highlighted by a crushing 8-0 defeat to Aucas on November 11. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 3.0 per game.
Defensive fragility has been Delfín’s main weakness this season. They have conceded 15 goals in their last five matches, a statistic that underlines their current struggles. Away from home, their record is equally concerning: they have failed to win at half time in 19 of their last 20 away matches in Liga Pro. Their season totals — 7 wins, 14 draws, and 14 defeats — reflect a team that has struggled to find balance between attack and defense. With an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Delfín will need a near-perfect performance to challenge the league leaders.
This encounter presents a clear contrast between two sides at opposite ends of the table. Macará are in full control of their destiny, combining attacking sharpness with defensive discipline. Their recent performances suggest a team that knows how to manage games, particularly at home, where they have been dominant. The attacking line has been efficient, and the team’s ability to score early has often allowed them to dictate the tempo of matches.
Delfín, meanwhile, are enduring a difficult campaign. Their heavy defeat against Aucas exposed major defensive gaps, and their inability to maintain concentration for 90 minutes has cost them dearly. The visitors will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on damage limitation and hoping to exploit counterattacks. However, given their poor away record and lack of confidence, it will be a major challenge to contain a Macará side that has been ruthless in front of goal.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these two teams is fairly balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat for Macará in their last five meetings. However, the most recent clash ended in a 0-4 loss for Macará on October 18, a result they will be eager to avenge. With both teams heading into this fixture under very different circumstances, the home side’s motivation and form could make the difference.
The most likely outcome is a Macará win (1) with a 58% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Delfín win (2) stands at 17%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Macará
Delfin
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
6
4
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0