The final round of the Europa League group stage brings together two sides with very different motivations. Maccabi Tel Aviv will host Bologna in a match that, while not decisive for the Israeli team’s future in the competition, still carries pride and statistical interest. For the Italian visitors, however, there is still something to play for as they aim to secure a better position ahead of the knockout rounds. The clash promises to be an intriguing one, contrasting Maccabi’s defensive struggles with Bologna’s more balanced European campaign.

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s Recent Form and Key Stats

It has been a difficult Europa League journey for Maccabi Tel Aviv. The team sits at the bottom of the table and has already been eliminated from the competition. Their record in the group stage shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. The Yellows have struggled to maintain consistency, losing heavily in several fixtures and conceding at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 Europa League matches.

At home, Maccabi’s defensive issues have been even more evident. They have lost all three of their home fixtures in this campaign, conceding a total of 12 goals and scoring just once. Moreover, they have lost at half time in their last three home matches in the competition. Despite being fourth in their domestic league, recent form has been poor, with a 1-2 defeat against Hapoel Tel Aviv on January 26, 2026, marking their second consecutive loss. Over the last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.

One consistent trend for Maccabi is the frequency of goals in the second half. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 22 matches overall and in 11 consecutive home Europa League games. This pattern suggests that their matches tend to open up after the break, often to their disadvantage.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna approach this fixture with a clear objective: to strengthen their position in the Europa League play-offs. The Italian side currently rank 15th in the overall competition standings and have shown a more solid performance compared to their hosts. Their Europa League record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. This balance has allowed them to remain competitive in both domestic and European competitions.

In Serie A, Bologna are currently eighth, though their recent form has dipped slightly with two consecutive defeats, including a 3-2 loss to Genoa on January 25, 2026. Over their last five matches in all competitions, they have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Despite these setbacks, Bologna’s attacking output remains strong, and they have shown resilience away from home, winning their last two Europa League away fixtures.

Statistically, Bologna’s matches tend to be open and entertaining. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 away matches and in 10 consecutive games overall. However, their defense has not been watertight, as they have conceded at least one goal in their last 16 matches. This combination of attacking intent and defensive vulnerability could make for another high-scoring encounter in Israel.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna Analysis and Prediction

When comparing both sides, the contrast in form and motivation is clear. Maccabi Tel Aviv have endured a disappointing campaign, struggling to find stability at the back and rarely managing to keep clean sheets. Their inability to hold onto leads and their tendency to concede multiple goals per game have been recurring issues throughout the season. Even at home, where they should be stronger, their defensive lapses have cost them dearly.

Bologna, on the other hand, have been more consistent in Europe. Their attacking line has produced goals regularly, and their away form in the competition has been particularly encouraging. Although their domestic results have been mixed, their European performances suggest they have the quality to secure another positive result here. Given that both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals, the encounter could once again see plenty of action in front of goal.

Historically, teams in Bologna’s position—already qualified but still chasing a better seeding—tend to approach such fixtures with professionalism and focus. Maccabi, already eliminated, may use this match to rotate or experiment, which could further tilt the balance in favor of the visitors. Considering the statistical trends, especially Bologna’s attacking consistency and Maccabi’s defensive fragility, an away win appears the most likely outcome.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bologna prediction by BetMines:
Bologna win (2) with 38% probability.