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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 7:05 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 7:15 AM
The Europa League continues with an intriguing clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Midtjylland, two sides with contrasting fortunes so far in the competition. The Israeli hosts are looking to bounce back after a slow start, while the Danish visitors arrive in excellent form, both domestically and in Europe. With both teams sitting second in their respective leagues, this encounter promises to be a key moment in their group stage campaigns.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have endured a mixed run of results in recent weeks. Although they remain unbeaten in their domestic league after six matches, winning four and drawing two, their European form has been less convincing. A goalless draw against PAOK was followed by a 3-1 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, leaving them chasing their first Europa League victory of the season. Their last five matches across all competitions show one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
At home, however, Maccabi have been consistent in finding the net. There have been Over 0.5 goals in each of their last 23 home matches, demonstrating their ability to create chances in front of their supporters. Yet, their European record tells a different story — they have failed to draw in 20 of their last 21 Europa League fixtures, suggesting that their matches often produce decisive outcomes. The team’s recent 1-1 draw against Maccabi Haifa on October 5 showed resilience, but they will need to rediscover their cutting edge to overcome a strong Midtjylland side.
FC Midtjylland arrive in Israel in superb form. The Danish side have been dominant both domestically and in Europe, sitting second in their league with 25 points from 12 games. Their Europa League campaign has started perfectly, with a 2-0 home win over Sturm Graz followed by a thrilling 3-2 victory away to Nottingham Forest. Their last five matches show four wins and one draw, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Midtjylland’s consistency is remarkable — they have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 26 matches and have not lost at half time in 28 of their last 30. Their attacking power was on full display in the recent 5-1 win over Vejle Boldklub on October 19, a result that underlined their confidence and depth. Away from home, they have also shown resilience, with only two of their last ten away games finishing with Under 0.5 goals. This combination of attacking flair and defensive solidity makes them one of the most balanced sides in the competition.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different approaches. Maccabi Tel Aviv rely heavily on their home advantage and disciplined structure, but their recent lack of goals in Europe could be a concern. Their attack has struggled to convert chances, and facing a side as clinical as Midtjylland will test their defensive organization. The Israeli side’s inability to win in their last four matches, including a 3-1 loss to Dinamo Zagreb, highlights the need for a stronger performance in both boxes.
Midtjylland, on the other hand, have been one of the most consistent teams in the Europa League group stage so far. Their ability to score early and control games has been key — they have led at half time in each of their last three matches. The Danish side’s attacking trio has been in fine form, and their recent record against Maccabi Tel Aviv adds to their confidence. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 3, 2024, Midtjylland claimed a 2-0 victory, showing their superiority in both possession and finishing.
Given the current dynamics, the visitors appear to have the upper hand. Maccabi’s defense will need to be at its best to contain a Midtjylland side that has scored at least twice in four of their last five matches. The hosts’ best hope may lie in keeping the game tight and exploiting set pieces, but the Danish side’s momentum and attacking rhythm make them difficult to stop.
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% probability. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, and with Midtjylland’s high-scoring form combined with Maccabi’s strong home record, goals are expected at both ends.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Midtjylland
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1