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Prediction published on Jul 28, 2026 8:19 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jul 28, 2026 8:19 PM
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Sheriff Tiraspol meet on July 30, 2026, in the second leg of their Europa League tie, with Maccabi holding a commanding 5-0 advantage after the opening encounter. The match will take place at Batumi Arena in Georgia, meaning Maccabi will not have a home crowd behind them despite being listed as the home side. The size of the aggregate lead creates a very different context from the first leg: Maccabi can manage their position, while Sheriff must respond to a heavy defeat in Tiraspol. Recent statistics point toward second-half action, although Sheriff’s goalless results against Aluminij and Milsami also underline their ability to produce disciplined defensive performances.
Maccabi Tel Aviv delivered the defining result of this tie by winning 5-0 away to Sheriff on July 23. That victory gave Kenny Miller’s side complete control of the contest and extended a productive run in front of goal. Maccabi have recorded four wins and one defeat across their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding only 0.6 per game during that sequence.
Their Europa League season record stands at one win from one match, with an average of 5.0 goals scored and no goals conceded. Maccabi have also found the net at least once in each of their last 16 matches, demonstrating considerable attacking consistency. Their head-to-head record against Sheriff is currently based on the first leg alone: one victory, five goals scored and none allowed.
Several longer-term trends nevertheless show that this may not be a straightforward match from the opening whistle. Maccabi have been behind at half-time in their last four listed home games in the Europa League and in seven of their last ten matches in the competition. At the same time, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 23 of their previous 25 Europa League fixtures, while the same pattern has occurred in 12 consecutive listed home matches in the tournament. Across all competitions, 26 of their last 29 games have contained a second-half goal.
The unusual setting is another important part of the preview. Although Maccabi are nominally at home, the fixture is being played on neutral ground in Georgia. With a five-goal cushion already secured and another European tie scheduled six days later, there is no competitive requirement for them to reproduce the intensity or attacking urgency shown in Tiraspol.
Sheriff Tiraspol face the difficult task of recovering from their 5-0 first-leg loss. Their current Europa League numbers show one win, one draw and one defeat, with an average of 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Across their last five matches in all competitions, however, Sheriff have collected three victories, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
The first-leg result contrasts sharply with Sheriff’s other defensive displays this season. Victor Mihailov’s team began their first qualifying-round tie by drawing 0-0 at home to Aluminij before earning a 1-0 away victory in Slovenia. They subsequently held Milsami to another goalless draw. Goalkeeper Emil Timbur, who shared the Moldovan Liga clean-sheet award last season with ten, is part of a side that has already demonstrated an ability to keep matches tight.
Sheriff’s statistics also suggest that their resilience often extends through the first half. They have avoided being behind at the interval in 18 of their last 20 matches. Nevertheless, their Europa League games have frequently opened up after the break, with at least one second-half goal appearing in 23 of their previous 25 fixtures in the competition.
There have also been several completely goalless matches in Sheriff’s recent record. Three of their last ten games finished without a goal, as did two of their last ten away fixtures. Those figures fit with the 0-0 results against Aluminij and Milsami, but Sheriff must balance defensive organisation with the reality that they enter this return match five goals behind.
The key issue surrounding this Europa League match is how the aggregate score affects each team’s approach. Maccabi Tel Aviv have already shown their superiority in the tie by scoring five unanswered goals in Tiraspol. Their 16-match scoring run and strong recent record provide further evidence of their attacking form, while their low average of 0.6 goals conceded across the last five matches highlights their defensive stability.
However, the second leg presents different incentives. Maccabi can protect an enormous advantage rather than chase another decisive scoreline, and the neutral venue removes the influence of a conventional home atmosphere. Their recent tendency to trail at half-time in Europa League matches is also relevant when assessing how quickly they may impose themselves on the contest.
Sheriff, meanwhile, will look to ensure that the return fixture is more controlled than the first. Their clean sheets against Aluminij and Milsami show that the 5-0 defeat does not represent the only side of their recent form. The visitors have generally remained competitive before half-time, but the repeated appearance of second-half goals in both teams’ Europa League records indicates that the game could change as it progresses.
The supplied Europa League ranking lists Maccabi Tel Aviv first and Sheriff second, while the latest head-to-head numbers clearly favour Maccabi after their emphatic first-leg success. Even so, this return fixture is shaped less by the need to establish control of the tie and more by how the leaders manage their cushion. Sheriff’s challenge is to recover their defensive structure, compete more effectively than they did on July 23 and prevent another match from becoming stretched after the interval.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
3
7
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3