Tools
Prediction published on Nov 7, 2025 6:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Nov 7, 2025 6:03 PM
Mallorca and Getafe meet at Son Moix in a clash between two sides currently achieving their respective objectives in La Liga. While Mallorca are fighting to stay above the relegation zone, sitting 17th with 9 points, Getafe are enjoying a strong campaign in 7th place with 17 points, even flirting with European qualification. The contrast between both teams’ trajectories adds intrigue to this fixture, as the hosts rely heavily on their home form, while the visitors have been inconsistent on the road.
The Bermellones have endured a difficult start to the season, but recent performances suggest signs of recovery. After a poor opening run, their 1-1 draw against Atlético Madrid marked a turning point. Since then, they have shown resilience, narrowly losing 1-0 at Real Sociedad, defeating Alavés 1-0, and competing well in Bilbao despite a 2-1 defeat. Their biggest success came with a stunning 3-1 win at Sevilla, before drawing 1-1 with Levante and advancing in the Copa del Rey with a 2-0 victory over Atlètic Sant Just. However, a 3-0 loss to Real Betis in their latest league outing exposed lingering defensive vulnerabilities.
At home, Mallorca have been far more reliable. They are unbeaten in their last four matches at Son Moix, recording one win and three draws. The home advantage has been crucial, as they have struggled away from the island, losing five of their six away fixtures. Statistically, under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 home league games, highlighting their tendency toward low-scoring encounters. Despite their defensive discipline, they have lost at half-time in their last four La Liga matches, a trend that coach Jagoba Arrasate will be eager to reverse.
In terms of personnel, Mallorca will be without Leo Román and Antonio Lato due to injury, while Kumbulla remains doubtful. Arrasate is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation featuring Bergstrom in goal; Mojica, Raíllo, Valjent, and Maffeo in defense; Costa and Morlanes as holding midfielders; Virgili, Darder, and Joseph supporting lone striker Muriqi.
Getafe arrive in Mallorca in excellent form, having won their last two league matches. The Madrid-based side have recovered impressively after a challenging run that included fixtures against Barcelona and Real Madrid. They lost 3-0 at Camp Nou, drew 1-1 against both Alavés and Levante, and suffered narrow defeats to Osasuna (2-1) and Real Madrid (0-1). However, they bounced back with a 1-0 win at Athletic Bilbao, a dominant 11-0 victory in the Copa del Rey against Inter de Valdemoro, and a 2-1 home triumph over Girona.
Under José Bordalás, Getafe have rediscovered their trademark intensity and defensive solidity. They have won three of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. Their season record stands at five wins, two draws, and four defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Despite their strong overall form, Getafe’s away record remains unpredictable: they have won three and lost three of their six away games, with no draws in their last 19 away league fixtures. In fact, they have gone 27 of their last 29 matches in all competitions without a draw, a remarkable statistic that reflects their all-or-nothing approach.
Bordalás will be without Davincho due to injury but otherwise has a full squad available. His likely starting XI at Son Moix could include David Soria in goal; Rico, Djené, Duarte, and Iglesias in defense; Arambarri and Milla anchoring the midfield; Liso, Mario Martín, and Femenía supporting striker Borja Mayoral, who remains their main attacking threat.
This fixture promises to be a tight and tactical battle. Mallorca will look to capitalize on their home advantage, where they have proven difficult to beat, while Getafe will aim to extend their winning streak and maintain their push for European positions. Historically, Mallorca have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 1-2 defeat in their most recent encounter in May 2025.
Both sides tend to produce low-scoring games, with under 3.5 goals recorded in each of Getafe’s last 18 league matches and in Mallorca’s last 11 home fixtures. Given these trends, a cautious and physical contest is expected, with few clear chances and both teams prioritizing defensive organization. Mallorca’s resilience at Son Moix and Getafe’s inconsistent away form suggest that a draw or a narrow home win could be on the cards.
MALLORCA (4-2-3-1): Bergstrom; Mojica, Raíllo, Valjent, Maffeo; Costa, Morlanes; Virgili, Darder, Joseph; Muriqi. Coach: J. Arrasate
GETAFE (4-2-3-1): David Soria; Rico, Djené, Duarte, Iglesias; Arambarri, Milla; Liso, Mario Martín, Femenía; Borja Mayoral. Coach: J. Bordalás
The most likely outcome is a Mallorca win (1) with a 40% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while a Getafe win (2) stands at 31%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mallorca
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
5
5
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0