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Prediction published on Jan 3, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Jan 3, 2026 4:01 AM
The upcoming clash in LaLiga EA Sports sees Mallorca host Girona in what promises to be a tense and competitive encounter. Both sides are in need of points as they look to move away from the lower end of the table. The fixture, scheduled for matchday 18, will take place at Son Moix, where the home crowd will be hoping to inspire their team to a crucial victory. Historically, this matchup has leaned slightly in favor of the Balearic side, but Girona will be determined to change that trend and end the year on a positive note.
Mallorca come into this game after a 1-1 draw against Valencia, a result that extended their recent run of solid performances. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In the league so far, they have collected 18 points from 17 matches, with a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. Their average of 1.1 goals scored per match shows a team that can find the net, but defensive consistency remains key to improving their position.
At home, Mallorca have often shown resilience, and their supporters will expect another strong display at Son Moix. The team’s ability to stay compact and take advantage of key moments has been crucial in recent weeks. With the league table still tight, a win here could push them further away from the relegation zone and provide a much-needed confidence boost heading into the second half of the season.
Girona suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat against Atlético Madrid in their last outing, a result that did not fully reflect the balance of play but highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. The Catalan side have struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside one draw and three defeats. During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, underlining the need for improvement at both ends of the pitch.
Girona currently sit 18th in the standings with 15 points, having won three, drawn six, and lost eight matches. Their away form has been particularly concerning, as they have conceded at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. However, their matches tend to produce goals, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 away games. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively if they are to take anything from this trip to Mallorca.
The recent history between these two sides shows a slight advantage for Mallorca, who have won three of the last five meetings, while Girona have claimed two victories. Their most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Mallorca, a result that underlines how tight and low-scoring these fixtures can be. On average, matches between them have produced 1.8 goals per side, suggesting that small details often decide the outcome.
Girona’s tendency to concede in the second half could be a decisive factor, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 33 of their last 36 league matches. Mallorca, meanwhile, have shown the ability to stay competitive throughout the 90 minutes, often finding ways to grind out results even when not at their best. The home side’s defensive organization and Girona’s struggles away from home point toward a balanced but potentially narrow contest.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting recent fortunes but similar objectives. Mallorca will look to capitalize on home advantage and their slightly better form, while Girona will aim to end their poor run and climb out of the relegation zone. Given the statistics, a tight game with limited scoring opportunities is expected, especially considering Girona’s defensive issues and Mallorca’s pragmatic approach.
Based on the available data, the most likely outcome points toward a Mallorca win (1), supported by a 43% probability. The draw (X) follows with 29%, while an away win (2) for Girona stands at 28%. The balance of probabilities suggests that Mallorca’s home strength could make the difference in this encounter.
Mallorca vs Girona prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mallorca
Girona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1