Tools
Mallorca
3 - 1
FT
Las Palmas
Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 4:37 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 4:37 PM
Mallorca host Las Palmas in La Liga 2 on October 11, 2026, at 16:30 local time. The fixture brings together two clubs with ambitions of competing near the top, although their starts have differed. Mallorca sit fifth after eight matches, while Las Palmas are 11th and arrive on a three-game winless run. The contrast between Mallorca’s defensive record and Las Palmas’ higher-scoring matches gives this preview its central question: can the visitors disrupt a home side that has been difficult to break down?
Mallorca have taken four wins, two draws and two defeats from their first eight La Liga 2 games. Their latest outing was a 0-0 draw with Girona on October 4. Across the last five matches, they have won twice, drawn twice and lost once, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game. Their season averages of 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded point to a side whose results have relied heavily on limiting opponents’ chances to score.
The sequence began with a 2-0 win over Valladolid and later included victories against Ceuta, Sabadell and Real Sociedad B. A 0-1 defeat to Almería interrupted a four-match unbeaten stretch before the goalless draw with Girona. Mallorca have won three of their first four home league matches and scored seven of their eight league goals in those games. That home scoring record is a useful counterpoint to their modest overall average.
Adrián Fuentes leads Mallorca’s scoring with four goals in eight league appearances. Álex Sala has contributed one goal and two assists, while Pablo Torre, Raíllo and Buksa have also scored. Recent scorelines, however, underline the importance of Mallorca’s defence: fewer than 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 10 matches and each of their last 12 home matches. At least one team has failed to score in all of Mallorca’s last 10 games.
Las Palmas have recorded three wins, two draws and three defeats in eight La Liga 2 matches. They began with wins over Albacete and Ceuta, and later beat Cádiz 1-0 away. Their more recent results have been less convincing: defeats to Burgos and Eibar were followed by a 2-2 draw with Real Valladolid on October 4. Over their last five games, Las Palmas have one win, two draws and two losses, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4 per match on average.
The visitors’ season averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their results have included a 5-2 defeat to Girona, a 1-2 loss to Burgos, a 3-2 loss to Eibar and the recent draw with Valladolid. Those varied scorelines help explain why Las Palmas’ attacking output comes with questions about their ability to keep opponents out. In 18 of their last 20 La Liga 2 matches, at least one goal has been scored after half-time.
Las Palmas have spread their goals among nine players. Taisei Miyashiro has two goals and two assists, while Jesé has two goals and one assist but is unavailable because of a muscle injury. Valentín Pezzolesi has scored twice, and both Iván Jaime and Elías Romero have one goal and two assists. That range of contributors gives the visitors several sources of goals, even without Jesé.
This La Liga 2 meeting places Mallorca’s controlled recent results against a Las Palmas side whose matches have often featured goals at both ends. Mallorca have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals over their last five games, and their run of 10 matches in which at least one side failed to score makes an open contest far from certain. Las Palmas, meanwhile, have scored more regularly over the season but have also conceded more than Mallorca.
Home form could be decisive. Mallorca have won three of four home league fixtures, and the head-to-head summary also favours them: three wins, two draws and no defeats in the five meetings recorded. The most recent meeting finished 3-1 on February 16, 2025. Las Palmas have enough scoring contributors to challenge that record, but they arrive without a win in three matches. Mallorca’s stronger start, home results and defensive consistency give them the clearer case heading into the fixture.
Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction from BetMines: Mallorca win (1) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2