The final match of La Liga’s 22nd round will take place at Son Moix, where Mallorca host Sevilla in a crucial battle for points. Both teams arrive under pressure, eager to move away from the lower half of the table. Historically, the Andalusians have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, but the current situation paints a much more balanced picture. With only three points separating them, this encounter promises intensity and urgency from start to finish.

Mallorca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mallorca come into this clash after a tough 3-0 defeat against Atlético Madrid on January 25, a match in which they were outplayed from start to finish. That setback left them 18th in the La Liga standings with 21 points, the result of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses. Their season averages show 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, underlining the defensive fragility that has cost them valuable points throughout the campaign.

In their last five matches, the Balearic side have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 2.0. Despite these struggles, their home ground remains a key factor. The support of the Son Moix crowd often lifts the team, and with the memory of their 1-3 victory in the reverse fixture still fresh, confidence will not be lacking. The head-to-head record also leans slightly in Mallorca’s favor, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat in their last five meetings against Sevilla.

Coach Jagoba Arrasate’s men will rely on their attacking trio, including Sergi Darder, Jan Virgili, and Muriqi, to make the difference. The team’s main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline while exploiting Sevilla’s weaknesses away from home.

Sevilla’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Sevilla arrive in Mallorca after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Athletic Club on January 24. That victory ended a poor run and lifted them to 13th place with 24 points, coming from 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. Their season averages stand at 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, showing a team that can find the net but often struggles to keep opponents out.

In their last five outings, Sevilla have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.8. One consistent trend is their second-half activity: over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 14 matches, including all 11 most recent league games. This pattern suggests that Sevilla tend to grow into matches, often producing late drama.

However, their away form remains a major concern. The Andalusians have not won on the road in La Liga since September 2025, a drought that heavily influences their confidence heading into this fixture. The team also faces several absences, including Azpilicueta, Marcao, Nianzou, Januzaj, and Vargas due to injuries, while Gudelj is suspended. Even so, players like Agoumé, Peque Fernández, Isaac Romero, and Akor Adams are expected to step up and provide attacking options.

Mallorca vs Sevilla Tactical Overview

This match is expected to be tight and physical, with both sides aware of the stakes. Mallorca will look to capitalize on home advantage, pressing high and using quick transitions to unsettle Sevilla’s defense. Their ability to strike early could be decisive, especially against a visiting side that tends to concede first. Meanwhile, Sevilla will aim to control possession and exploit spaces in the second half, a period in which they have consistently found goals this season.

Given the recent form and the head-to-head record, Mallorca appear slightly better positioned to claim the three points. Their home support, combined with Sevilla’s poor away record, could tilt the balance in favor of the hosts. However, the Andalusians’ resilience and attacking talent mean that the contest is unlikely to be one-sided. Expect a match where both teams create chances, but efficiency in front of goal will determine the outcome.

BetMines Prediction: Mallorca vs Sevilla

Mallorca vs Sevilla prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 39% probability. The draw (X) follows with 27%, while an away win (2) stands at 34%. Considering the current dynamics, Mallorca’s home advantage and Sevilla’s travel struggles make the hosts the more likely winners in this La Liga encounter.