Tools
Prediction published on Jul 24, 2026 4:03 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Jul 24, 2026 4:03 PM
Malmö FF welcome Elfsborg in an Allsvenskan fixture on July 26, 2026, with the two teams approaching the contest in contrasting form. The hosts are sixth in the standings and remain unbeaten across their last five matches, while ninth-placed Elfsborg have gone seven games without a victory. Malmö’s latest outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Kalmar, but that result followed three consecutive wins in which they scored ten goals. Elfsborg, meanwhile, arrive after a 3-1 home defeat against Sirius extended their losing sequence to three matches. With Malmö also having won the last three home meetings between the sides, the recent evidence gives the hosts significantly more encouragement before kick-off.
Malmö FF have produced one of the more consistent recent runs in the division, collecting three wins and two draws from their last five matches. Their sequence includes a 4-0 victory over IFK Göteborg, a 1-0 success against Degerfors and a high-scoring 5-2 win over Halmstad. The 2-2 draw away to Kalmar on July 20 prevented them from recording a fourth consecutive victory, yet it also preserved their unbeaten run.
Their attacking figures during this five-game period have been particularly strong. Malmö have averaged 2.8 goals scored per match, compared with 1.2 conceded. Across the Allsvenskan season, their record stands at six wins, two draws and five defeats, with averages of 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 allowed per fixture. Those numbers indicate that their matches have regularly provided goalmouth action at both ends.
There is also an impressive level of scoring consistency behind the home side. Malmö have found the net at least once in each of their last 19 Allsvenskan matches and in their last 13 fixtures across the available sequence. Erik Botheim has played an important role in that output, reaching ten league goals this season and leading the attack ahead of the meeting with Elfsborg.
Home matches have followed an especially open pattern. Malmö’s last nine Allsvenskan fixtures on their own ground have all produced over 2.5 total goals, while each of the most recent six has gone beyond 3.5. There has also been at least one first-half goal in their last ten home games, followed by second-half scoring in all ten. One concern is that Malmö have been behind at half-time in six of their last ten matches, so their strong overall form has not always been accompanied by comfortable starts.
Elfsborg travel in a much more difficult spell. Their last five matches have brought two draws and three defeats, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The 3-1 loss at home to Sirius on July 19 was their third defeat in succession and extended their winless sequence to seven fixtures. Before those losses, Elfsborg had drawn four consecutive matches, meaning they have repeatedly struggled to turn competitive performances into victories.
The broader season record offers a little more balance. Elfsborg have registered four wins, six draws and four defeats in the Allsvenskan, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. However, those season-long figures contrast sharply with their recent results. Their scoring average has fallen across the last five games, while the defensive return has worsened during the same period.
Late action has been a recurring theme in Elfsborg matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 13 away league fixtures and in 27 of their latest 28 Allsvenskan games overall. In addition, 26 of their last 28 league matches have contained at least two total goals. These trends suggest that the contest may remain active after the interval even if the opening stages are more measured.
Recent meetings also show that Elfsborg cannot be dismissed completely. The last head-to-head encounter finished 2-2 on September 14, 2025, while the five-match summary from Malmö’s perspective reads two wins, two draws and one defeat. Both teams averaged 1.4 goals in that sequence. Nevertheless, Elfsborg must overcome the fact that Malmö have defeated them in their last three meetings at the hosts’ ground.
The clearest contrast ahead of this Allsvenskan match concerns momentum. Malmö FF have taken positive results from five consecutive games and scored freely throughout that run. Elfsborg have failed to win in seven, with their four draws followed immediately by three defeats. The hosts’ reliable scoring record is especially relevant against visitors who have recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match.
The game may still be less straightforward than the form lines initially imply. Malmö’s tendency to trail at half-time shows that they can leave themselves with work to do, while Elfsborg’s matches consistently feature second-half goals. At the same time, the home side’s latest nine league fixtures on their own ground have all exceeded 2.5 total goals, and the last six have produced at least four. Combined with Malmö’s run of scoring in 19 successive league matches, the available statistics point toward another contest with sustained attacking activity.
Elfsborg’s challenge will be to improve both their efficiency in front of goal and their resistance after the break. Their recent average of 0.8 goals scored is modest beside Malmö’s 2.8, and another slow attacking display would place considerable pressure on their defence. Malmö enter with the stronger recent sequence, a proven scorer in Erik Botheim and a favourable run in home meetings with this opponent, while Elfsborg need a substantial response to stop their winless streak from continuing.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Malmö FF
Elfsborg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0