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Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 3:34 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 3:34 PM
Malmö FF host Häcken in the Allsvenskan on October 18, with three points separating the sides after 23 matches. Häcken sit fifth and Malmö sixth, making this a closely matched fixture. Both teams arrive after victories against Kalmar and Örgryte respectively, while their most recent head-to-head meeting ended 3-2. Häcken’s recent scoring form and the goals in several previous meetings give this match plenty of attacking interest, although both sides have also defended well over their last five games.
Malmö FF beat Kalmar 1-0 on October 12, recording their third league win in five matches. Across their last five games, they have three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6 per match. The Kalmar result showed they can take the points without needing a high-scoring performance.
Over 23 Allsvenskan matches, Malmö have registered 11 wins, three draws and nine defeats. Their season averages stand at 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, so their recent defensive figures are notably tighter than their campaign-wide average. The timing of goals is another detail to watch: each of Malmö’s last 10 matches has featured fewer than two goals in the first half. That does not rule out an open contest later on, but it suggests the opening period has tended to be measured.
Malmö can also draw confidence from this matchup. They are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Häcken. Across the five head-to-head games covered by the supplied summary, Malmö have two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging two goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest meeting, however, finished 3-2 on May 10, illustrating how different an individual game can look from the broader head-to-head averages.
Häcken travel to Malmö after a 3-0 win over Örgryte on October 11. A recent 5-0 victory against Kalmar offers another example of their attacking potential, and they have scored 14 goals across their past seven matches, finding the net in six of them. Those results help explain why the visitors enter this fixture three points above Malmö.
Häcken’s last five matches have produced three wins and two draws. During that stretch, they have averaged two goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per game. Their full Allsvenskan record after 23 matches is 10 wins, nine draws and four defeats, with season averages of 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Like Malmö, Häcken have recently conceded at a much lower rate than their season average, so their scoring form is not the only reason for their strong run.
There are also clear patterns in Häcken’s match statistics. At least one second-half goal has been scored, by either team, in 18 of their last 20 away matches. Meanwhile, their fixtures regularly produce corners: more than 7.5 have been taken in 19 of their last 20 away games and in 28 of their last 30 Allsvenskan matches. Those figures do not determine the result, but they add context to what has often been an eventful set of away fixtures.
There is little separation between these teams on the available results. Malmö have won three of their last five matches and have the stronger recent head-to-head record, while Häcken are unbeaten across their last five and hold a three-point advantage in the Allsvenskan standings. The supplied win probabilities underline that balance: 39% for Malmö, 25% for a draw and 36% for Häcken.
Goals are a compelling part of this Malmö FF vs Häcken preview, but the evidence points in two directions. Häcken have scored eight goals across their two recent league wins against Örgryte and Kalmar, and five of the last seven meetings between these sides have featured at least three goals. The latest was the 3-2 encounter in May. On the other hand, Malmö’s most recent match ended 1-0, and both clubs have kept their recent goals-conceded averages low.
That contrast makes the course of the game important. Malmö’s run of first halves with fewer than two goals leaves room for a slower start, whereas Häcken’s away record shows how frequently their matches have included a goal after the interval. If the visitors maintain their recent scoring rate, Malmö’s own season average of 1.7 goals per game suggests they have the output to contribute. The 3-2 head-to-head result and Häcken’s recent wins provide the clearest factual support for a game with several goals, without making one inevitable.
Malmö FF vs Häcken prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Malmö FF
Häcken
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1