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Prediction published on Aug 2, 2025 4:09 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Aug 4, 2025 8:23 AM
The third qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League kicks off on Tuesday, August 5, with a Baltic derby at the Eleda Stadion between Malmö and FC Copenhagen. The hosts are in sensational form: after easing past Georgia’s Iberia 1999 and Latvia’s RFS, Malmö enter this clash on a seven-game winning streak across league and European matches. Henrik Rydström’s men, currently third in the Allsvenskan after 18 rounds, boast top physical condition and sharp match fitness. On the other side, FC Copenhagen have just begun their Danish Superliga campaign but have made a perfect start: three wins from three and top of the table. Jacob Neestrup’s squad advanced comfortably past Kosovo’s Drita in the second round (2-0 at home, 1-0 away) and come into this encounter riding a six-game winning streak in all competitions. Their goal in Malmö is to earn a positive result ahead of the second leg scheduled for August 12 at Parken Stadium. This will be a clash between two in-form sides with high European ambitions: Copenhagen aim to replicate their impressive run to the Round of 16 in the 2023/24 edition, while Malmö dream of returning to the group stage for the first time since 2021/22. Given the form of both teams, fans can expect an intense and competitive match with plenty of goals and entertainment.
Malmö won their most recent match 1-0 against RFS in the second leg of the Champions League second qualifying round, securing progression to this third round. After the 4-1 win in the first leg, a 25th-minute goal from Haksabanovic in Sweden was enough to shut down any hopes of a Latvian comeback. It marked the 11th consecutive positive result for Henrik Rydström’s side.
The Swedish club is enjoying a fantastic spell, with seven straight victories across Champions League qualifiers and Allsvenskan. After 18 rounds, they sit third with 33 points, 10 behind leaders Mjällby. At home, Malmö are undefeated in their last seven matches (five wins, two draws) and have won their last four at the Eleda Stadion across all competitions.
FC Copenhagen are also in top form. In their most recent match, played on Friday, August 1, they beat Fredericia 2-0 away in Matchday 3 of the Danish Superliga. Thanks to goals from Achouri and Larsson, Neestrup’s side extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to 14 matches.
The Danish side are coming off six consecutive victories, the last four of which were clean sheets. They’ve made a flawless start to the domestic season and had no issues qualifying for this round of the Champions League. On the road, Copenhagen are equally impressive: they’ve won their last seven away matches, keeping clean sheets in five of them.
The prediction for Malmö vs FC Copenhagen suggests an entertaining match with scoring chances and goals expected from both sides. According to BetMines' algorithm, there’s a 55% probability that both teams will score, and a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Malmö are in great scoring form, having netted 19 goals in their last seven outings. However, compared to Copenhagen, they’ve shown more defensive vulnerability, managing only a few clean sheets during this run.
Copenhagen, in contrast, combine a powerful attack with a well-organized and solid defense. However, the Danish backline may struggle against Malmö’s pressing and attacking intensity, especially with the hosts pushing to capitalize on home advantage in the first leg.
This attacking mindset from Malmö could create openings for Copenhagen on the counterattack, where wingers Larsson and Achouri – both with two goals already this season – will look to exploit space and test the experienced Olsen in goal.
MALMÖ (4-4-2): Olsen; Rosler, Jansson, Djuric, Busanello; Stryger Larsen, Rosengren, Berg, Bolin; Haksabanovic, Ali.
Coach: Henrik Rydström
FC COPENHAGEN (3-4-2-1): Kotarski; Pereira, Hatzidiakos, Garananga; Huescas, Lerager, Delaney, Meling; Elyounoussi, Achouri; Cornelius.
Coach: Jacob Neestrup
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Malmö FF
FC København
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
5
5
6
4